LOS ANGELES CHARGERS @ LAS VEGAS RAIDERS 2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
Optimum OU line: 50.5 or less points
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It looks like the stars are in alignment for another AFC West Division SHOOTOUT on Sunday in the late kicks. So that means we’ll Go HIGH with our second play on Page Two (in addition to the first). In this case, the Chargers @ Raiders game in Sin City. Let’s make sure that we can find a line of 50.5 or LESS points before we pull the trigger. This one has lot going for it and it starts with the series: The last three played IN Vegas between these two have gone a perfect 3-0 O/U (58.0 ppg). The Chargers’ BEST ‘Over’ results are usually on the conference road (16-4-1 O/U away vs all AFC opponents L4Y with an OU line of 52 < points). And when Las Vegas is at HOME vs conference foes, the results are 12-2 OU in the last 3 years. The fact that LA is laying points on the road against their division rival is also a good sign for OVER bettors. That’s because: AFC WEST DIVISION games have gone an almost-PERFECT 11-1 O/U in the last two years when the home team is an UNDERDOG (RAIDERS vs CHARGERS). These games have averaged 58.3 combined ppg. Next up, we ran a couple of database queries that are RUSHING-related. Las Vegas is ranked high in rushing offense (#4 at 5.2 yards per rush) and ran for 283 last week vs Seattle. 6-0 O/U last 6 years: All NFL home teams off a SU dog win in which they RUSHED for 250 or more yards (RAIDERS)... On the flip side, sharp bettors already know that the Chargers are ranked dead LAST in rushing defense this year (allowing a whopping 5.4 YPR). 7-0 O/U ALL-TIME in our database: All GAME 6 > favorites who ALLOW 5.0 < yards per rush (CHARGERS) vs any opponent who RUNS for 5.0 > yards per rush (RAIDERS), when the OU line is 53 or less points... Last week, the Raiders went into the Pacific Northwest and beat the Seahawks 40-34 in another shootout. 13-1-1 O/U since 2000: All GAME 3 or greater teams who scored 40+ points on the ROAD the previous week (RAIDERS), when the OU line is 52 or less points... With Las Vegas having back-to-back DOG wins under their belts, we’ll close with this query: NFL home teams off BB road dog wins in a row (RAIDERS) have gone 18-4-1 O/U since 2012.