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Pro Pick From
Ben Burns

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(At current odds)

2022-05-13T01:45:00.000Z 2022-05-13T01:45:00.000Z - NBA

513 Phoenix Suns
vs.
514 Dallas Mavericks

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

05/12/2022

NBA Sides

Suns

86-113

-1½

3

L

-330

Analysis
I'm playing on PHOENIX. While everyone loves a Game 7, I don't see this series "going the distance." Rather, I believe the Suns will close things out tonight. As you're likely aware, the home team has won and covered every game in this series, thus far. So, it would be easy to make a case for the Mavs. Every game is unique though. I believe that the Suns "turned the corner" in the second half of the last game. That one was close at halftime but the Suns elevated their defense after the break. In fact, they would limit the Mavs to a mere 34 second half points. Remember, prior to losing Game 3 and 4, the Suns were a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS their last four visits here, 9-1 ATS (8-2 SU) their previous 10. So, they do indeed know how to win here. Booker, Paul and co. can smell the blood in the water. They know this is their chance. They know that if they get past here that every remaining potential opponent has shown vulnerabilities. Phoenix coach Monty Williams said this of the big Game 5 win: "It was the defense. When we get stops like that and are able to get out in transition, it gets us going ... And I firmly believe that defense travels. It's the one thing you can do in any gym." Expect that to be the case tonight. The Suns punch their ticket to the Western Conf. Finals, covering the small number along the way. 
Pick Creation Time:
05/12/2022 4:36 AM
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