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Pro Pick From
MacKenzie Rivers

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(At current odds)

2022-01-23T01:15:00.000Z 2022-01-23T01:15:00.000Z - NFL

303 San Francisco 49ers
vs.
304 Green Bay Packers

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

01/22/2022

NFL Prop

JimmyGU235.5

10-13

-115

2

W

200

Analysis

BET SF 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo UNDER 235.5 Passing yards -115.

 Jimmy G's median passing yardage this season is 230 -- 235, right at this number. 

Jimmy G has never thrown more than 219 passing yards in 4 career playoff stats (all with SF), only going even 175 yards one time.  

Despite being an underdog, the 49ers will attempt to maintain focus on the ground game as much as possible. Especially in frigid conditions I expect the 49ers to throw than no more than 45% of their plays. 
 
Why? Packers defense has been great against teams that get most of their yards from passing and have done terribly against teams that get at least 40% of their yards from the ground. 

 SF since week 8 when they started using Deebo as a runner, in games with a healthy Eli Mitchell + Deebo: Generated 44.8% of yards on the ground. 

Don't be scared away by the underdog role and potential of late game passing -- this number has been set 15 yards to go. If drops to that point don't bet, this bet is good all the way down to 225.
Pick Creation Time:
01/20/2022 6:52 PM
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