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Pro Pick From
Ben Burns

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(At current odds)

2021-07-29T23:05:00.000Z 2021-07-29T23:05:00.000Z - MLB

959 Milwaukee Brewers
vs.
960 Pittsburgh Pirates

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

07/29/2021

MLB Run Lines

Pirates

0-12

+1½+102

3

L

-300

Analysis
I'm playing PITTSBURGH on the run-line (+1.5 runs) The Brewers are on top of the division. The Pirates are in the basement. The Brewers are very likely going to make the playoffs. The Pirates are not. The Brewers have won each of the first two games convincincly. Another easy winner for them today? I'm not seeing it. With Milwaukee heavily favored on the moneyline, we're able to get great value with the Pirates on the run-line. Though we may not need the extra +1.5 runs, I'll happily take them. Kuhl has quietly been pitching very well recently. In fact, the Pirates are 5-1 in his last six starts. He allowed three or fewer earned runs in all six of those, one or less in four of them. While Peralta has also pitched well, the Brewers are 1-2 his last three starts. One of those losses came against Pittsburgh. So, the Pirates have already seen him this month. Not the case for the Brewers with Kuhl. After this game, the Brewers head to Atlanta. They've been fine without Yelich and Peterson (Quarantine) but missing those guys figures to catch up with them here. Kuhl and Peralta opposed each other back in the spring and Pittsburgh won a 1-run game. I say the Pirates bounce back with AT LEAST the "run-line cover." 
Pick Creation Time:
07/29/2021 4:39 AM
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