With the Astros favored on the moneyline, we're able to get an extra +1.5 runs with the Rangers for roughly a pick'em price. With Gibson on the mound, I feel that's providing us with fair value. Gibson struggled against Detroit his last two outings. However, those starts against the Tigers notwithstanding, he's been consistently getting it done all season. In three starts against Houston, he's allowed 1, 1 and 2 runs while going six, six and seven innings. So, four runs in 19 innings. Prior to the games against Detroit, the Rangers were 5-2 in Gibson's previous seven starts, one of the two losses coming by a single run. The Astros lost Valdez's last start, as he gave up two HR's. His previous start was a 1-run win. His last two starts vs Texas were also 1-run games. Consider Texas on the run-line. 

07/24/2021 6:18 AM