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Free Pro Pick From
Stephen Nover

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(At current odds)

2021-04-22T23:40:00.000Z 2021-04-22T23:40:00.000Z - MLB

903 NY Mets
vs.
904 Chicago Cubs

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

04/22/2021

MLB Sides

Cubs

4-3

+102

Free

W

Free

Analysis
It took 17 games, but it now appears the underachieving Cubs offense has arisen from their season-long slumber. Beating the Mets, 16-4, on Wednesday should be an indication of that. 

Kris Bryant, Javier Baez, Anthony Rizzo, Ian Happ and Willson Contreras are too good of hitters for the Cubs to rank 30th in batting. 

Am I putting too much emphasis on just one game by backing the Cubs here? I don't think so given the pitching matchup. We're not talking Jacob deGrom, but southpaw Joey Lucchesi as the Mets starter. As a road favorite of minus $1.10 or more, Lucchesi is 1-8. He has a lifetime 7.20 ERA versus the Cubs in two starts spanning 10 innings. The Mets have lost eight of their past 11 away games. 

So even though I do not have a high regard for Cubs starter Trevor Williams, I think it's good value to get Chicago as a home 'dog in this spot. The Cubs are 4-0 the last time four times facing a southpaw starter and Williams is coming off a good start - limiting the Braves to one run on four hits in five innings this past Saturday. 

Williams also has been strong against the Mets during his career going 3-1 with a 2.08 ERA. 
Pick Creation Time:
04/22/2021 8:48 AM
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