I make this game Browns -3.5, but the matchup edges for Cleveland is what really has me liking them on Sunday.

Baker Mayfield threw for a season-high 9.5 yards per pass attempt when these teams met in Week 2. In no other game this season did he throw for over 7 yards per attempt. The Bengals will be without stud CB William Jackson, and are already dealing with cluster CB injuries from earlier in the season in Trae Waynes and Mackenzie Alexander.

The Bengals are also dealing with cluster DL injuries in D.J. Reader, Sam Hubbard, and Mike Daniels. DL Geno Atkins and DE Carlos Dunlap have voiced frustration towards the coaching staff about their reduced playing time, and rumors have even circulated that those locker room leaders (as well as A.J. Green) have caused some friction in the locker room. 

When comparing each individual teams rush offense and rush defense, the Browns are best in the NFL in YPC differential, while Cleveland is 31st. The Bengals will also be missing stud RB Joe Mixon. 

The Bengals offensive line is also amongst the worst in the NFL, while the Browns are led by defensive player of the year candidate Myles Garrett in the trenches.

All these matchup issues are why the Browns statistically dominated the Bengals to a tune of 7.5 YPP to 4 YPP in their week two matchup. This matchup issue isn't a fluke.