FLORIDA GATORS @ TEXAS A&M AGGIES
3*** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL
Saturday, Oct. 9th / 12:00pm ET / 9:00pm PT / #333-334
*Optimum OU line: 57 or less points
For the 2nd week in a row, we’re Going HIGH in a Texas A&M Aggie football game in the SEC Conference. Last week, we were on OVER 53 in their game versus Alabama. And the OU outcome was never in doubt. Bama was up 14-7 after one quarter… and the score at the half was already 35-14! We officially cashed the WIN with Crimson Tide TD at the 7:24 mark of the THIRD quarter. From then on in, it was ALL gravy. Final score was 52 to 24… as with teams accounted for 994 total offensive yards. It’s been tough for us this week finding that PERFECT game for us to cash an ‘OVER’ in. That’s because Mother Nature could indeed play a very big role in many southern Colleges Football games. The impact of Hurricane Delta this weekend could affect numerous games. In fact, before the Hurricane forecast, we were looking for potential ‘OVER’ winners in the following games: Coastal Carolina @ La-Lafayette… South Carolina @ Vanderbilt… Tennessee @ Georgia… Arkansas @ Auburn… La-Monroe @ Liberty… and Alabama @ Mississippi. The Hurricane could definitely play a role in ALL SIX of these games. Its tough enough to find that PERFECT ‘Over’ in ideal weather conditions. Who you factor in the potential impact of a major hurricane, our job just got lot tougher…
But we believe we found the ONE game to stick our necks out on. And that’s the Florida Gators traveling west and taking on the Texas A&M Aggies. The weather report for College Station looks pretty good to us. Perfect football temperatures in the high 70’s and low 80’s… Winds out of the West at LESS than 10 miles per hour… and only a 9% chance of rain for the game…
When it comes to the 2020 Gators, they are currently doing it the old-fashioned way. In the last 4-5 seasons, Florida was known as a SEC team with a GREAT defense and a pretty ‘vanilla’ offense. UNDERS came in a t very high percentage. But remember the Fun ’N’ Gun days under Steve Spurrier? Those were the days when the Gators were chucking the ball all over the yard, And thats what we are now seeing in the 2020 season. Florida ranks #5 in the entire country in passing efficiency, and their 10 passing TD’s are the most for any team that has played least two games. If quarterback KYLE TRASK isn’t a Heisman Trophy candidate, then tight end KYLE PITTS definitely is. Trask is ranked #5 in the country in passing efficiency with a QB ranking of 196.4. Florida’s outstanding average of 495 total yards per game is #13 in the country. Their average of 44.5 PPG is 4th BEST in the country. And as a result, they are one of only 14 teams that has played at least two games WITHOUT an ‘Under’ (2-0 O/U / 74.0 combined ppg!). After watching the Texas A&M secondary give up not one, not two, but THREE scoring passes of longer than 60 yards against Alabama… heat coach Mullen and QB Trask have to be salivating whole putting together this week’s offensive game plan...
On the flip side, we get to the host Aggies. In last week’s writeup, we told you to forget their shitty debut against Vanderbilt… which they won by a low score of only 17 to 12. In last week’s ‘Over-EASY’ win for us, Texas A&M responded with a 450-yard offensive output against a pretty good Alabama defense. That included 335 passing yards for senior quarterback Kellen Mond. He shook off the rust of that Game One versus Vanderbilt. And this is the week to crank up that offensive production even more. They have the pieces on offense. Three different receivers have over 100 yards in the air… and they have a pair of RB’s who love to catch the ball in sophomore Ainias Smith and sophomore Isiah Spiller. Remember, this is NOT the great Florida defense of the last few seasons. The Gators are ranked in the BOTTON TEN In the country so far in the 2020 season, allowing 471 yards per game and 30.0 points per game…
GATORS: 8-1 O/U last nine as road favorites... TEXAS A&M: 4-0 O/U last 4 as home underdogs... Based on the current pointspread and OU line, the predicted final score on this game is Florida 32 - Texas A&M 25. Our database models differ pretty strongly. The most common score that comes up when I run my year-to-date simulations are: FLORIDA GATORS 38 - TEXAS A&M AGGIES 31. That’s a total of 69 points. And that’s more than 10 points HIGHER than the current OU line. Any College Game with a total thats more than 10 points ‘off’ the current OU line triggers a 3*** Best Bet for our service.