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Pro Pick From
Ben Burns

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(At current odds)

2020-08-01T17:00:00.000Z 2020-08-01T17:00:00.000Z - NBA

717 Miami Heat
vs.
718 Denver Nuggets

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

08/01/2020

NBA Totals

OV MIA/DEN

125-105

210½

2

W

200

Analysis
I'm playing on Miami/Denver OVER the total. While I've won with a couple of "unders" since basketball returned, I believe that this number will prove to be too low. Consider that Denver games were averaging 217.8 points, prior to the pandemic. Meanwhile, Miami games averaged an even higher 221.1 points. The Nuggets won big in the first meeting; note that the OVER is 14-8-1 the past couple of seasons, when the Heat faced an opponent which defeated them in the previous meeting. During that span, the OVER is also 30-15-1 when the Heat faced a team which allows more than 106 ppg. Expect those stats to improve as this one finishes above the low number. 
Pick Creation Time:
07/31/2020 1:34 PM
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