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Pro Pick From
sleepyj

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(At current odds)

2020-07-31T22:30:00.000Z 2020-07-31T22:30:00.000Z - NBA

711 Boston Celtics
vs.
712 Milwaukee Bucks

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

07/31/2020

NBA Sides

Celtics

112-119

+5

3

L

-330

Analysis
No way in hell am I falling for the banana in the tail pipe on this one...I don't see how in the hell you play the Bucks here. Let's start with what we heard...Giannis and Middleton both said they haven't touched a basketball in months..Then they come out and say we just lied about that, we were ballin and we are ready. Why even say they didn't play months after the shutdown...My gut says they didn't play basketball at all and they are trying to save themselves from the backlash if they lose. It's a poor excuse if they lose, but it's fuel for the media to say hey why didn't they pick up a basketball etc. You also have to consider that the Bucks starting PG Bledsoe is OUT. You need a PG who can do things to get Giannis and Middleton the ball...So now they might put Divincenzo or George Hill in that spot..less reps for sure....Also, the Bucks are without two  backup forwards who play a good amount of minutes. Marvin Williams and Pat Connaughton...So you just lost some of your best players...So now you are basically left with Lopez and Middleton to shoot the ball..Bucks game at times is shooting the outside shot..Well this time off isn't going to help 3pt shooters at all..Giannis isn't going to shoot a ton of outside shots..I actually think this sets up for Giannis to get doubled often in this game and daring cold rusty shooters to hit from outside. Here is another thing..Bucks are 6.5 games up on the Raptors..Are the Bucks going to go 1-7 and the Raptors 7-1 to lose first place?...Hell no... all the Bucks gotta do is win 2 games or the Raptors to lose 2 games and #1 seed is wrapped up...So why go force two guys who haven't played to go full tilt for 40 minutes to secure this win. I see both Giannis and Middleton playing less minutes than expected. Once the Bucks are healthy and they get all the horses back, they really play..They got some easy games to pick up a lousy win or two and then they can call it good themselves without worrying if the Raptors rattle off a ton of wins..Odds are slim that even happens...I also worry about the Bucks strong home record..How will they look outside of their own gym now..They only lost 3 games at home..that was a league best. Then we have Boston a team that can shoot inside or outside and they have a ton of depth. Boston is healthy right now and they sit in the 3 seed. Celtics schedule is easy enough they can actually catch the Raptors for that two seed..So I expect Boston to be ready and going all out for a win here..Bucks do a walk through I think in a sense..No way in hell I can take the Bucks..It looks to me like the trap of the year !!...Also I don't care if the line goes up...The public made the lines do some crazy shit yesterday...we got the right side.
Pick Creation Time:
07/30/2020 11:54 PM
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