We use 3 CBB Models, all developed differently to pick different ways. They help us SPOT Potential Totals and all 3 have agreed that this number is too high. It is not the only thing we use but it is a starting point. We also use techniques that as far as I know have not yet been discovered by others including books. While these are not fail proof techniques they have been very profitable over the last few years. We also use offensive and defensive efficiency numbers, pace, projected pace, venue trends, league and division trends, injuries, along with other more "Standard" Handicapping Principles to get our final number and possibly make a play rated at 1* 2* and 3*.
Both teams have scored a lot of points verses not so worthy opponents and the thought by Odds Makers that opening this one at 148 was not so wise of a choice. These teams play solid defense as well and in the case of Oregon they don't like the high pace. Memphis ranked #103 for Tempo and Oregon #187 so far but both skewed high due to lack of competition and more opps to run the court. This one might start quick but should settle into mostly a half court effort by both squads. Play UNDER at your best number down to 142..