Pro Pick From
Ben Burns

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(At current odds)

2019-10-10T00:37:00.000Z 2019-10-10T00:37:00.000Z - MLB

915 Washington Nationals
vs.
916 LA Dodgers

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

10/09/2019

MLB Sides

Dodgers

3-7

-145

3

L

-435

Analysis

I'm playing on LA. Playing at home, with Scherzer on the mound and with Rich Hill on the mound for LA, I successfully backed the Nationals last game. However, I'm going against them here. I'm well aware that Strasburg has been a playoff beast. He's got a 1.00 ERA in two postseason appearances this season and a 0.64 career postseason ERA. Admittedly, thats tough to go against. Buehler is the right man for the job. I backed him in the Dodgers opener and he rewarded me with six shutout innings, giving him a 0.00 ERA for the current postseason. Here's an excerpt of what I had to say about Buehler before that game: "... Many will be surprised to see Buehler instead of Kershaw, or Ryu. The Dodgers have faith in for good reason though. He's 6-1 with a 2.86 ERA and 0.89 WHIP on the season - much better than his road stats. He's also a dominant 11-1 with a 2.96 ERA and 0.97 WHIP when pitching during the evening. Again, much better than his daytime stats. You may recall the last time that Buehler was on the mound for a postseason game. That was Game 3 of last year's World Series. All he did was toss seven shutout innings...." Once again, Buehler is on his home mound while pitching during the evening. Unlike Strasburg, Buehler is pitching on regular rest. While the Nats used Straburg out of the pen earlier, that (obviously) won't be an option here. Likewise, Scherzer came out of the pen into a relief role. However, thats not going to be an option, at least one wouldn't think, after he gave the Nats all he had on Monday. They also tried #3 starter Corbin out of the pen but that didn't go well. In other words, their "anti-bullpen" strategy won't be an option here. Again, Strasburg is working on less than optimal rest. That means that the Nats bullpen may well come into play - and thats been a weak spot all season long. Collectively, Washington relievers have a 5.75 ERA, roughly two runs higher than LA relievers. Its been a great run for the Nats but it comes to an end here.

Pick Creation Time:
10/08/2019 5:50 AM
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