MLB Pick #1: 953 St. Louis Cardinals @ 954 Miami Marlins
(Starting Pitchers: D. Hudson vs. E. Hernandez)
Rating: 4 units - Regular Play
Pick: Miami Marlins F5 (First 5 Innings)
Odds: +132 / 2.32 on Pinnacle Sports OR +135 / 2.35 on Bookmaker
I think we have some value w/ MIA in the first 5 innings. I’m not playing them for the game because their bullpen has been awful these last games. Dakota Hudson has been serviceable but his bad K/BB ratios are prone to give him problems virtually in every start and I think Miami could get to him.
MIA’s SP Elieser Hernandez is expected to make his first start of the season and his AAA numbers are just impressive: a 1.13 ERA while posting a 69:14 strikeout-to-walk ratio w/ 68 CFIP & 30.1 DRA. Obviously, we need to be cautions regarding AAA numbers, but I think the surprise factor could work in his favor.