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2019-05-09T02:35:00.000Z 2019-05-09T02:35:00.000Z - NBA

511 Houston Rockets
vs.
512 Golden State Warriors

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

05/08/2019

NBA Sides

Warriors

104-99

-6

2

L

-220

Analysis

Hou (8) GST (10)

LIKE G STATE -6

The Teams appear to have played this series even, as G. State has only outscored Hou by 1 point.

HOWEVER:   This is because Houston has benefited from much better 3 points shooting.  THAT 3 point shooting edge Hou has had is very unlikely to coninue.

            Hou:  37 percent 3 pointers in Series

            G St:  32 percent 3 pointers in Series (24% gm4)

Season Averages:

Golden State:  38.3 % (No. 3 in NBA)

Houston:   35.7% (No. 9 in NBA)

            Golden State’s current 32% in the series

                        Would rank them LAST in NBA…………

Based on season long stats, we expect GST to have a higher 3 point success rate.

 Even if the 3 point success rates had been even G State would have easily outscored Houston, and likely be up 3-1.  

            Further, Hou has been in “good” situations in the Series:

                                    Game 1:  4/28, Hou had much more rest Hou 100 GST 104

                                    Game 2:  4/30, Hou had the Zig-Zag edge Hou 109 GST 115

Game 3:  5/4, Hou the 0-2 Desperate team Gst121 HOU 126

Game 4: 5/6,  Limited rest for G State team

            Starters logging excessive minutes…..

Golden State: Now 16-8 ATS after a loss with Kerr in Playoffs

Golden State more than any other team, responds in Max Motivation Games, but they failed here……

Pick Creation Time:
05/08/2019 10:06 AM
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