This line/total implies roughly a 78-66 type of game and there's just no way I see UCF scoring 66 points. First off, UCF plays slow and I'd expect them to play even slower if they can because they and the rest of the world know they can't win a higher scoring game. Another big factor for me is UCF's coach, Jonnhy Dawkins. He played at Duke under Coach K so he knows what they're going to do, but perhaps more importantly is the fact that Coach K is likely to try and humiliate him, if in fact they have that chance. Of course there is Zion, but he hasn't played against someone inside like Tako Fall, so while I don't expect Zion to have a bad game, all we need here is a "good"game. Duke has only had one game since February 20th that saw 150 points, and although we think offense when we think Duke they're defense is ranked 5th in the nation. Duke is NOT a three point shooting team, in fact they rather suck from outside. Both teams shoot less than 70% from the FT line. Duke as we know is also quite young, and many of these kids are playing on borrowed time as compared to what they played in High School just a year ago - so sooner rather than later we could see a flat spot. In the end, because it's "Duke" it's an inflated number and they shouldn't get there.

03/23/2019 6:52 PM