This might be my squarest play ever..I'm dead serious...This line is either a rat trap or it's the worst line ever released by an oddmaker...My feeling is trap, but I still have to bet it...The stats are so strong in our favor, I'm an idiot if I don't back UC Santa Barbara and they win easy....Record wise these teams aren't close...UCSB is 13-3 and Davis is 4-12....I mean it doens't get much worse than that.
I preach time and time again about teams that have stat rankings in the 300's that they are bad bad bad in those certain areas.
This is what Davis ranks 300's in.
Scoring offense 336
Scoring margin 302
3pt FG% 311
Rebounds 335
Def Rebs 319
Off Reb 321
Free Throws Made 317
FT Attempts 319
Assists 316
Blocks 328
Fouls 336
Assist to TO Ratio 320
I mean what the hell already....They also rank 6 times in other areas at #265th - #299th....I mean how can we not play against that.
On the other UCSB is very good in these areas.
Scoring Defense 26
Scoring Margin 32
FG% 54
FG Defense 25
3pt Defense 18
Rebound Margin 9
Turnovers per game 23
Total Rebounds per game 40
Defenseive rebs 63
Off Rebs 50
Turnovers 13
The only areas they have a #300 ranking is 3pt FG per game..They don't shoot a bunch of 3;s..#305.....Steals #325 turnovers forced #328...
I have no idea guys, but the only thing i can come up with is this line is wrong...I mean how do you not take USCB here...Anyway, I wouldn't say this, but be cautious here...The stats say GOY, but the line is saying please, please, please take the bait...Well I'm taking it and hoping this line is just way out of whack...My line for this game would be like -25, which isn't right either, but the stats say blowout..So screw it, I'm living on the edge tonight...Follow if you want.