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VegasButcher

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(At current odds)

2018-12-30T18:00:00.000Z 2018-12-30T18:00:00.000Z - NFL

319 Miami Dolphins
vs.
320 Buffalo Bills

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

12/30/2018

NFL Sides

Bills

42-17

-5½

3

W

300

Analysis
Buffalo Bills -5.5

Two teams with nothing to play for but pride.  There’s a report out this week that Miami is moving on from Tannehill and cleaning out the front-office.  Does that explain the move from -3.5 to the current number?  Very likely, as it’s hard to see a very motivated Miami squad in this one.  At the same time, when you consider the weighted advanced stats (weighted heavier for later games in the season than early ones), Miami comes in ranking as the 31st team, only bested by a horrible Arizona squad.  Facing Buffalo’s 4th ranked D, that held the Dolphins to a measly 3.5 YPP in their previous meeting, I think it’s going to be very difficult for the Dolphins to move the ball in this one.  On the other side, you have a Bills team that is competing, is at home in front of their fervent fans, and is eager to finish the season on a high note. 


Good Luck
Pick Creation Time:
12/29/2018 12:24 PM
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