Sunday, Oct. 28th
NFL Week Eight action
1:00pm ET / 10:00am PT
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ DETROIT LIONS
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
Based on our database querying, this NFC conference game comes out with the 2ND best ‘OVER' numbers of the week. The SEAHAWKS and LIONS opened with an OU line of 49 points. As of Friday afternoon, the line is still RIGHT THERE (49 points). Have the linesmaker’s set the bar high for us? Yes, but we should still get enough points out of both offenses to get to ‘OVER’ that bar (pun intended)…
We haven’t spent much time this season on what used to be a favorite OVER situation from our database: The tendency for high-scoring results when a West TIME ZONE team makes the long cross-country trek and plays on the road in a Sunday early kickoff East TIME ZONE city. Since we’ve got a game ACTIVE this week, let’s do a review. Already this season. there have been THREE of these teams who have made the trek east, and ALL THREE of those teams went OVER theTotal (3-0 O/U). Week Two: LA CHARGERS @ BUFFALO BILLS (51 points)... Week Three: OAKLAND RAIDERS @ MIAMI DOLPHINS (48 points)... and Week Six: LA CHARGERS @ CLEVELAND BROWNS (52 points).
From the database: WEST Time Zone road teams playing a EAST Time Zone opponent have gone 34-16 O/U (68% Overs) in the last four seasons. Tightening our query even further reveals: When these WEST COAST teams are ‘pick em’ or UNDERDOGS, the results improve to 26-9 O/U (74% Overs). This week, we’ll be expecting an OVER-whelming game when The SEATTLE SEAHAWKS play @ The DETROIT LIONS. Seattle has gone a PERFECT 8-0 O/U as road dogs in these games, and Detroit has gone 6-1 O/U as hosts in these games.
Seattle also comes in well-rested after their Bye Week. And that extra week has led to some pretty high-scoring results as of late… (1) 13-3-1 O/U last 7 years: All NFL road underdogs of < 10 points AFTER their Bye Week (SEAHAWKS), when playing off a SU and ATS win in their last game (SEATTLE beat Oakland 27-3 two weeks ago)… (2) 14-3-1 O/U since 2005 / 5-0 O/U last 3 years: All NFL non-division teams off a NEUTRAL SITE win (SEAHAWKS).
Yes, we’re aware that Seattle just held Oakland to only 3 points in their last game… 5-0 O/U since 2011: All road underdogs who just allowed 3 or LESS points on the ROAD in their last game (SEATTLE).
Both offenses are in a good groove as of late. Seattle has scored 27 and 31 points in their last two games… Detroit has scored 31 and 32 points in their last two games… 7-1 O/U last 5 years: All non-division home favorites when BOTH teams scored 27 or more point sin EACH of their last two games (LIONS + SEAHAWKS), when the OU line is > 46 points.
So both of these teams are off dominating DOUBLE-DIGIT wins away from home in their last game… 7-1-1 O/U since 2010: All non-division home favorites when BOTH teams are ff a DOUBLE-DIGIT road win in their last game (LIONS + SEAHAWKS), when the OU line is LES the (<) 50 points.