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Stephen Nover

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2018-07-02T23:10:00.000Z 2018-07-02T23:10:00.000Z - MLB

967 Tampa Bay Rays
vs.
968 Miami Marlins

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

07/02/2018

MLB Sides

Marlins

3-2

+114

3

W

342

Analysis
There are several things to keep in mind about this matchup that go beyond the surface.

The first is Tampa Bay being 8-1 in its last nine games. Impressive yes since the Rays compiled this current streak against the Yankees, Nationals and Astros. However, those games all were in Tampa. Now the Rays take to the road where they have lost 11 of the past 13 times. It's a bad spot for the Rays off a 3-2 Sunday win against the Astros and likely to take the lowly Marlins lightly.

Miami, though, has a winning record in its last 11 home games. 

The pitching matchup is Nathan Eovaldi versus Wei-Yin Chen. Eovaldi is coming off a 1-0 victory against the Nationals this past Tuesday in which he allowed just one hit in six innings. Prior to that outing, Eovaldi had given up 16 runs in 23 1/3 innings spanning four starts. Eovaldi is a tease. That's his big league pattern. One great game, three bad ones. The Marlins are familiar with him, too. Eovaldi pitched for Miami from 2012-14. 

Here is another statistic that is misleading in this instance. Chen has a 6,14 ERA. Yet Miami has won 11 of his last 15 home starts. That's because Chen pitches very well at Marlins Park where he has a 2.30 ERA this season. ?hen is backed by perhaps the most underrated closer in baseball, Kyle Barraclough. He hasn't been scored on during his last 21 appearances spanning 20 2/3 innings. 

Tampa Bay has scored three runs or fewer in seven of its last 11 games. 

(Editor's note: For purchasing Stephen Nover's Triple Star MLB Monday Underdog Special, you get 30 percent off any of Stephen's Tuesday picks and subscriptions. This 30 percent discount will be in your shopping cart ready to use by Monday evening.) 


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Pick Creation Time:
07/01/2018 8:07 PM
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