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Pro Pick From
Ken Thomson

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(At current odds)

2018-04-03T01:20:00.000Z 2018-04-03T01:20:00.000Z - College Basketball

601 Michigan Wolverines
vs.
602 Villanova Wildcats

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

04/02/2018

CBB Totals

OV MIC/VIL

62-79

145

3

L

-330

Analysis
I feel 81-75 or 79 -70, either score puts me OVER the total......Nova drilled 18 three's....Michigan struggled because they were tight vs. Loyola because they were supposed to win or that game would've sailed over too.
You are not going to stop Nova from launching three's....only ( 4-24 ) from three vs. Texas Tech but still won by 12 points going ( 29-35 ) from charity stripe.
When Abdur-Rahkman struggles one game from down town the next game he'll be dialed in.  I think Michigan can hang if Wagner & Robinson can get help from Muhammad Ali Abdur-Rahkman.  Michigan is good enough to win if it hits shots Monday, I don't think their D is good enough to shut down the Cats...only team going to beat Nova would be Nova themselves if the have another woeful night from downtown and don't get bailed out by 36 trips to the foul line.

I count 9 reliable three point options between the two teams....I say four of them shoot it will....that should set the tone to wear both teams at least hit 70 on the offensive end of the court.

UPDATE: LINE IS 144.5 OFF SHORE so many of you will get a better line than I got when I took OVER 145.....to me this game will either be in 120's if Michigan is walking ball up and nursing every possession or in 150's or higher if Nova can get out and hit three's with good spacing and accuracy.....I believe we will know 10 minutes into game if this game goes OVER!

Pick Creation Time:
04/01/2018 6:52 PM
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