1-star (540) BAYLOR -3.5 (EVEN) over Oklahoma. 9:00pm ET. The Bears are coming off back-to-back losses which gives us some value here. Keep in mind, Baylor had won and covered 5 straight games prior to those losses. It's not like either of those losses were really bad either as one was on the road against a Top 20 TCU team and then the other at home to what I consider is a Top 10 West Virginia team. Meanwhile, Oklahoma comes in off a rare win and cover vs Kansas State. The Sooners are still 3-9 SU in their last 12 and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games. Oklahoma is overpriced in the markets because of their star player Trae Young. Baylor is playing with revenge from a 98-96 loss at Oklahoma on January 30th as in that game Oklahoma was 26 of 32 from the foul line (Baylor just 11 of 16). Baylor has the much better defense (No. 17 vs No. 106) and Oklahoma is 0-8 SU/ATS on the road their last 8.
Lean: (524) MISSISSIPPI STATE -1.5 over Tennessee. 7:00pm ET. The Bulldogs are 18-1 SU at home this year and need wins to get off the bubble as currently they are sitting as one of the first four out. The Bulldogs have been playing their best basketball of the season as they are 7-2 SU/8-1 ATS in their last 9 games. Meanwhile, Tennessee is off a somewhat misleading win and cover vs a terrible Ole Miss team this past weekend as the Rebels were just 1 of 23 from 3-point range.