Lean: (535) Loyola-Chicago -3.5 over INDIANA ST. 2:00pm ET. Loyola-Chicago is by far the best team in the Missouri Valley conference as right now I'd favor them by at least 7 points over any other team on a neutral floor. Loyola-Chicago has also been good to us on these updates as they are on a 9-1 SU/ATS run while Indiana St is 1-4 SU/ATS in their last 5 games. Loyola has the much better defense (No. 39 vs No. 127) and the much better offense (No. 74 vs No. 157). This is a very similar handicap to last week's recommendation on Loyola over Missouri St. Loyola is playing with revenge from an earlier 61-57 loss to Indiana St back on January 3rd. However, that is yet another game where Loyola's best player Clayton Custer missed the entire game. That gives us value.
Lean: (580) PROVIDENCE -6.5 over DePaul. 4:00pm ET. I just don't understand the line here as I have this game power-rated at Providence by 12.41. The Friars have the better offense (No. 80 vs No. 168), the better defense (No. 52 vs No. 83) and have played a slightly tougher schedule (No. 30 vs No. 36).
Lean: (589) Florida St +2 over NOTRE DAME. 4:00pm ET. The Irish are getting too much love after they snapped their 7-game losing streak earlier this week. Florida St has the better offense (No. 19 vs No. 38) and better defense (No. 60 vs No. 73) and these two have played similar strength of schedules. While Notre Dame got back point guard Matt Farrell, they are still playing without two starters in D.J. Harvery and Bonzie Colson. Also ND shot 52.5% from the field in their last game vs BC, their best mark since December 19th and hit 55% from 3-point range, their 2nd best performance of the season. I don't expect a repeat performance here.
Lean: (619) Iowa +14.5 over OHIO ST. 6:00pm ET. Just a simple situational play for me. Iowa has one extra day rest taking on an Ohio St team off their biggest win in years, a buzzer beater at Purdue. Ohio St has been one of the biggest surprise teams in the country this year but are just 1-6 ATS laying double-digits. Iowa's No. 30 offense can put up enough here to stay within a huge number.
Lean: (675) Washington +5.5 over OREGON ST. 10:00pm ET. Prior to Thursday night's disparate results, these two teams were heading in opposite directions. Washington had won and covered 4 straight games while Oregon St had lost 4 straight. Washington's 25-point loss at Oregon created some value as the Huskies shot just 27.8% from the field, their worst mark of the entire season. Meanwhile, Oregon St's 32-point win over Washington St created even more value as the Beavers shot 56.9% from the field in that game, their best mark of the entire season. Washington has the better defense (No. 59 vs No. 104) and has played the tougher schedule (No. 73 vs No. 142).