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Pro Pick From
Stephen Nover

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(At current odds)

2017-09-19T00:30:00.000Z 2017-09-19T00:30:00.000Z - NFL

289 Detroit Lions
vs.
290 NY Giants

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

09/18/2017

NFL Totals

OV DET/NYG

24-10

42

3

L

-330

Analysis
The Giants offense looked terrible in their opening week 19-3 loss to the Cowboys. But this total is too low even if Odell Beckham Jr. misses a second straight game.

It's an overreaction to how bad the Giants offense played against Dallas. Before the rules heavily favoring offense, particularly passing, were instituted this total would be the equivalent of an over/under in the 30's. It's too low. 

Both the Lions and Giants are passing teams. The Lions defense is well below average. Detroit's defense set a modern-day record for highest completion percentage allowed last year along with finishing last in in opponent's average drive time. 

Eli Manning is at his best in a short passing offense, which is made to take advantage of Detroit's type of defense. 

The Giants' defense is strong, but may be without top cornerback Janoris Jenkins and leading tackler linebacker B.J. Goodson. 

The LIons should put up their share of points regardless if those two Giants play. Matthew Stafford has full command of Jim Bob Cooter's offense. The Lions went with a no-huddle on nearly half their plays last Sunday, the highest percentage of any team in Week 1. So the pace figures to be fast, which is a huge plus for the Over. 

(Editor's note: For purchasing Stephen Nover's Triple Star NFL Monday Night Destroyer you get 30 percent off any of Stephen's Tuesday's picks or subscriptions. Check your shopping cart for your 30 percent discount available to use by this evening.) 


Pick Creation Time:
09/18/2017 12:26 AM
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