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Pro Pick From
Stephen Nover

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(At current odds)

2017-06-26T23:10:00.000Z 2017-06-26T23:10:00.000Z - MLB

959 Minnesota Twins
vs.
960 Boston Red Sox

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

06/26/2017

MLB Totals

UN MIN/BOS

4-1

8½-115

3

W

300

Analysis
Chris Sale is the best pitcher in the American League. Jose Berrios is showing signs of becoming an elite pitcher, living up to his huge potential. 

I find the opening total on this game a run too high. So I'm jumping on the under taking advantage of what I see as a rare oddsmaker mistake. 

There's a reason the under is 10-1-1 during Berrios' last 12 starts. Berrios has been tremendous since returning to the majors. He has a 2.67 ERA with a 0.91 WHIP and a 54-to-15 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 54 innings. Berrios is 4-0 with a 2.84 ERA in four road starts. The Red Sox have never faced him giving Berrios an element of surprise. 

Boston has scored four or fewer runs in six of their last nine games. The Red Sox were just held to two runs by the Angels' Parker Bridwell, Blake Parker and Yusmeiro Petit in a 4-2 loss Sunday. Boston could manage only eight hits off that less than inspiring trio. 

Sale is a monster with a 9-3 mark and 2.85 ERA. He went into Sunday leading the majors in strikeouts with 146. Only once in his last eight starts has Sale permitted more than three earned runs. The Twins have been held to four or fewer runs in seven of their last nine games.

There shouldn't be any problem with the weather either as the forecast is for light wind and partly cloudy conditions with temperatures in the 70s. 

(Editor's note: For purchasing Stephen Nover's MLB First Half Total of the Year you get 30 percent off any of Stephen's Tuesday picks and subscriptions. Check your shopping cart for your 30 percent discount, available to use by Monday evening.) 

 

Pick Creation Time:
06/25/2017 2:49 PM
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