25* Play Under Denver/Oklahoma City at 8:05 ET.  Lenny spent years working on an NBA "totals system" and began using it in January '07 on the net, with great success. It's based on numerous factors, some of them listed here. Anticipated pace and style of both teams' play. Days of rest for teams or lack of it. Number of points scored by starters as compared to subs in recent outings (plus season-long averages). It also factors in point and rebounding differentials of the two teams. With all these factors (and many more), it's not possible to provide Lenny's "typical analysis" with his NBA totals selections. Last season was the first that he is now supplying trends & stats to supplement the plays. You might be surprised to learn that these teams have gone Under in 11 of the prior 15 head to head matchups. Last time these teams met, the game went way Under a total in a similar price range. In fact, Denver scored just 90 points.  Thunder HC Scott Brooks was not happy about his defense last night, which surrendered 110 points to the Sacramento Kings. Look for improved effort on that end tonight against what could end up being a first round playoff opponent. This is a team that allows just 96 PPG at home for the season. Don't forget OKC is still without James Harden after that ridiculous elbow shot he took Sunday from Metta World Peace. Denver is 7-4 Under this month and just allowed a season low 74 points in a blowout win over Orlando.  Plays are rated 10* (Game of Day), 15* (Game of Week), 20* (Game of Month) and some rare 25* plays. Under Denver/Oklahoma City is our 25* Division Total of the Year.

04/25/2012 8:31 AM