FREE $25 when you Join Now –Use your Free $25 to get a FREE Pick!

Pro Pick From
Coach Fletcher

Make this pick

(At current odds)

2015-10-10T21:00:00.000Z 2015-10-10T21:00:00.000Z - College Football

331 Miami Ohio Redhawks
vs.
332 Ohio U Bobcats

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

10/10/2015

CFB Sides

Ohio U

34-3

-16

2

W

200

Analysis

Game 2   332   11 am  Miami, Ohio at Ohio   -16   2*  William Hill 

The Pick   Ohio   #332   -16   2*   William Hill

 

The 1-4 Miami Redhawks travel to face the 4-1 Ohio Bobcats on Saturday.  We like the Bobcats in this one.

Miami’s defense is what opposing players dream about.  They have allowed 188.8 yards per game on the ground and 257.8 yards through the air for the season.  That’s total yardage of 446 yards per game.  That translates to a Redhawk defense that gives up 35.6 points per game.  That’s very bad news especially considering the Redhawks score only 17.4 per game.

Ohio is on the other side of the coin.  They average a healthy 27.8 which should surely go up after a week against the weak Redhawk defense.  They also give up just 18.2 points per game.  The Bobcats allow 48 yards less rushing and 50 yards less passing yardage than the Miami, Ohio team.

It’s no shock that the Redhawks are 1-4.  They opened game 1 as 13.5 favorites versus Presbyterian and won 26-7.  They gained 466 yards in a balanced attack and gave up just 318.  Presbyterian is ranked #224 of all college football programs by Jeff Sagarin.  He also has Miami, Ohio at #163 and Ohio at #80.  I don’t put a lot of stock in the Sagarin rankings but at least you have his rough idea.

Game 2 the Redhawks took on Wisconsin and were spanked 58-0.  At the time that seemed reasonable, but Wisconsin’s stock has dropped considerably.  The Redhawks ran 24 times and gained 3 yards.  They did get 160 in the air and commit 4 turnovers. 

In Game 3 Miami, Ohio took on Cincinnati and played well losing just 37-33 as 21 point dogs.  They did gain 448 yards total to only 545 for Cincy.

Things turned sour for the Redhawks in game 4 against Western Kentucky.  The Redhawks were laid to waste 56-14 as 20 point dogs.  They gained 291 total yards and allowed 569 to W. KY.  The Redhawks suffered 4 more turnovers.

Game 5 saw the Redhawks lose a close one 20-14 against Kent State. They went 21-51 for 325 yards in the air, their best performance of the year.  But they only gained 91 yards on the ground.  They outgained Kent who had 350 total yards and committed 4 more turnovers.

Turnovers have been the plague for the Redhawks.  They have given it up 15 times in 5 games.  The defense has only got 8 in return.

Turnovers have not been near as costly to the Bobcats.  Their offense has only 5 turnovers and they defense has collected 11.  We might well see at least one TD from this strong turnover edge today.

Ohio is neither an offensive juggernaut nor a defensive stronghold.  But they are pretty handy in both cases.  They won game 1 as 6.5 favs against Idaho by a 45-28 margin.  They outgained the Potatoheads 489 to 391. 

Game 2 found them testing the Thundering Herd and they passed the test as 3 point dogs winning 21-10.  They were able to hold Marshall to just 84 yards through the air.

The Bobcats won again in game 3 against SE Louisiana as 14.5 chalk.  The Bobcats won 35-14 and went pass happy collecting 346 yards through the air and 115 on the ground.  SE Louisiana gained 322 total.

Next came a date with Minnesota which the 7.5 dogs barely lost, 27-24.  Minny did scorch them for 468 total yards while the Bobcats could only gain 345.

Last week Ohio slipped by Akron 14-12 as 2.5 point favorites, infuriating all Ohio Bobcat bettors.  They were stuffed on the ground but did the same to Akron.  The Zips held a 231 to 179 advantage in the air.

So what are we looking at here?  Miami, Ohio has lost their last 4 games by 110 points.  Even if we toss out Wisconsin and Cincinnati, the Redhawks have been drubbed by a 76-28 margin in their last 2.  It just doesn’t look like they can match up at all against Ohio.  Ohio won last year’s contest at Miami, 24-21 as 3 point favorites.  In 2013 at Ohio, the Bobcats blasted the Redhawks 41-16. 

Considering the turnover differential and an offensive and defensive edge, I am taking the Bobcats in this one.

The Pick   2*   Ohio Bobcats   -16   -110   William Hill

Pick Creation Time:
10/08/2015 4:52 PM
Comment Stream

Email Share Sent

Your share has been sent.

x

Quick View

Loading...

Future Game

League:

Teams:

Date:

Time:

Pick:

Bet Type:

Odds:

Picked:

Contests: ,

Full Pick Details

x

Multi Quick View

Loading...

Pick Name
Odds: Odds
Picked: Stamp

x

Quick View

Rank:

Member:

Team:

Wins:

Losses:

Ties:

x

Pregame.com Join Contest

x