Since the start of the 2013 NFL season, these two teams
are 1-2 in the league in completion percentage.
The Chargers are number one at 69.56% and the Broncos are close behind at
68.75%.
Denver has had trouble hosting teams with a good passing
attack, as they are 0-19 ATS at home a team that has completed better than
64.2% of their passes season-to-date and has averaged more than 175 passing
yards per game. Check it out with this
SDQL text:
team=Broncos and H and oS(COMP)/oS(passes)>0.642 and
oA(PY)>175 and season>=2006
Denver has been scoring a lot of points lately and they have
covered three straight after starting the season 0-3 ATS.
This, however, is no reason to play on them, as they are 0-18
ATS as a six-plus point favorite when they scored more points than expected in
each of their last three games and they are facing a team that has allowed less
than 320 yards passing and averaged at least 250 yards of offense per game
season-to-date. The SDQL here is:
team=Broncos and line<=-6 and 0<p:dps and 0<pp:dps
and 0<ppp:dps and oA(o:PY)<320 and oA(TY)>250 and date>=19981011
The Chargers have been rock solid as a big dog vs a
streaking team. San Diego is 8-0 ATS as
a 6-plus point road dog vs a team that has won their last two games. The SDQL text is:
team=Chargers and o:streak >=2 and line>= 6 and season
>=2002
Finally, San Diego is 6-0 SU and 6-0 ATS after a loss as a
favorite, covering by an average of 12.75 ppg.
Grab the points.
MTi’s FORECAST: DENVER 24 San Diego 20