Saturday night college football and we will see the Bowling Green Falcons take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs in Starksville, Mississippi. The game will be televised on FSN and has a start time of 7:30 pm (Eastern). Current Odds have Mississippi State listed as 10.5 point favorites, while the total sits at 53.

Analysis: Bowling Green enters on a three-game win streak, but the Falcons got whipped 42-10 by Indiana in their only game against a BCS conference team. The Falcons are 5-1 on the year after last week's 28-7 lackluster win over Umass. Despite the crushing loss to the Hoosiers they have still had impressive wins over Tulsa (34-7) and Kent State (41-22). The Falcons have been very good on both sides of the ball this year, ranking 28^th in total offense and 5oth in scoring (32 ppg), while on defense they are 29^th overall and 15^th in points allowed (16.5 ppg). This is clearly a team primed to make a run at the MAC title, but they haven't beaten an SEC team since beating Kentucky back in 1985.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come in at a disappoint 2-3 overall and 0-2 in the SEC. Good news for them in this one is that HC Dan Mullen is 11-2 SU in non-conference home games. Still this is a struggling team and just not playing to the same standards that got them to bowl games 3 years in a row. The Stats for the Bulldogs look solid, as they are 35^th in total offense, 47^th in scoring offense (32.4 ppg), 37^th in total defense and 44^th in scoring defense (23.6 ppg), but how much stock can you take in that as their two wins (Troy and Alcorn State) came by a combined 118-14. Yes nice stats, but they did fatten up on those two weak opponents.

Pick: Not a good spot for the Falcons here. They come off playing an FCS foe and 2 of the worst teams in CFB  and now must travel to SEC land to take on a Bulldog teams that is off a 33 point loss to LSU and has a bye week on deck. Bowling Green has looked good inside the MAC in recent years, but in their last 4 road games vs BCS teams they have been outscored by 32, 13, 37, 45 & 44 points.  One of those losses was a 42-10 defeat at Indiana this year, which is their only loss of the season. Mississippi State is 2-3 on the year, and they really need wins like this if they hope to go bowling this year. Mullen is 12-4 ATS as a home favorite and the Bulldogs have outscored their two non-conference foes at home bay a 113-14 count this year. Look for the Bulldogs to win this one close to 3 TD's.

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