Saturday night college football and we will see the Michigan Wolverines take on the Penn State Nitany Lions in Happy Valley. The game will be televised on ESPN and has a start time of 5:00 pm (Eastern). Current Odds have Michigan listed as 2.5 point favorites, while the total sits at 50.5.
Analysis: Michigan is a perfect 5-0 on the season, and after taking out visiting Minnesota last Saturday, 42-13, they have now won 18 in a row at home, which just so happens to be the longest home winning streak among all BCS conference teams. The Wolverines are averaging 38.8 points and 397.0 yards per contest, with near equal production coming from the run and pass. Toussaint and Gardner rank one-two on the team's rushing list with 397 and 318 yards, respectively, while the duo has combined for 13 of the club's 16 scores on the ground. Jeremy Gallon heads the receiving corps with 24 grabs for 367 yards and four TDs. Opponents are scoring just 19.4 ppg against the UM defense, and the Wolverines are allowing just 90.4 ypg on the ground, while they have yet to allow a rushing TD. Morgan spearheads the attack with 34 tackles, and he has an interception, 2.5 TFL and a pair of PBU to his credit. Michigan leads the all-time series with Penn State, 10-6, which includes a 5-3 mark at Beaver Stadium.
Penn State is off a bad 20 point loss to Indiana last week, which was their first loss in 17 all-time meetings with the Hoosiers, and dropped them to 3-2 on the season. Penn State got a monster effort from wide receiver Allen Robinson (12 catches, 173 yards, 2 TDs) in the loss, while freshman QB Christian Hackenberg went 30- of-55 for 340 yards and three scores, with his his attempts setting a new school record. The Penn State offense is averaging 31.4 points and 451.0 yards per game, with the passing game putting up 279.4 ypg (third-best in the Big Ten). The unit does rank last in the conference in converting third-down opportunities (.297), and is near the bottom in terms of sacks allowed (11). Defensively, the Lions had trouble last week vs Indiana's offense, but overall they have still been solid allowing just 20.4 ppg and 325.2 ypg, with its effort against both the run (111.4 ypg) and the pass (213.8 ypg) ranking in the upper half of the conference standings.
Pick: I like the Michigan Wolverines in this one. Both teams are solid on defense, but Michigan has a much more consistent offense than Penn State does. I look for Michigan to win this one by at least 7 points.
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