Tuesday night college basketball and we will see the West Virginia Mountaineers travel to Fred Bramlage Coliseum in Manhattan, Kansas to take on the Kansas State Wildcats. The game has a start time of 7:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN 2. Current Vegas betting odds have Kansas State listed as 1.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 135.
Analysis: The West Virginia Mountaineers come in off a hard fought last second OT win over a TCU squad that had been struggling of late. The Mountaineers now stand at 16-3 overall, including 4-2 in the Big 12 and 3-1 in true road games. West Virginia has gone 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss, but just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Mountaineers have been a good offensive team this year, ranking 24th in scoring (77.7 ppg), 263rd in shooting (41.7%), 309th in 3 point shooting (29.9%) and 252nd in FT shooting (66.7%). Defensively West Virginia has been decent as they come in ranked 129th in points allowed (64.2 ppg), 271st in defensive FG% (44.6%) and 230th in 3 point defense (34.8%).
The Kansas State Wildcats have won 6 of their last 7 games, including a nice 10 point home win over Oklahoma State on Saturday. The Wildcats are 12-8 on the year, which includes a 5-2 mark in the Big 12 and a 9-2 mark at home. The Cats have gone 20-4-2 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. KSU has not been a great offensive team this year, ranking 220th in scoring (65.7 ppg), 46th in shooting (46.1%), 115th in 3 point shooting (35.7%) and 184th in FT shooting (68.7%). Defensively the Cats have been solid, ranking 84th in points allowed (62.6 ppg), 251st in defensive FG% (41.1%) and 169th in 3 point defense (33.4%).
Pick: Going with the Under in this game. This is just too high an OU line for a Kansas State home game, as their home games this year have averaged just 124 ppg, while their last 28 home games have gone 20-8 to the under This is a team that will dictate the pace of play at home and I don't see the Mountaineers getting them into a running game here. West Virginia has averaged just 68.2 ppg on the road, while KSU has put up just 66.5 ppg at home. At the defensive end of the floor this year both teams have been solid, as West Virginia has allowed just 64.2 ppg overall and 63.2 ppg on the road, while the Wildcats have allowed just 62.6 ppg overall and 57.5 ppg at home. This will not be a run and gun team. KSU just won't get drawn into that type of game, especially with their Big 12 home games averaging just 115 ppg.
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