Saturday college basketball and we will see the Oklahoma Sooners travel to the Ferrell Center to take on the Baylor Bears. The game has a start time of 6:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN 2. Current Vegas betting odds have Baylor listed as 2 point favorites, while the total is set at 146.
Analysis: The Oklahoma Sooners come in on a bit of a slump as they have lost 3 of their last 4 games. The Sooners are now 12-6 on the year overall and 3-3 in the Big 12, while also posting just a 2-3 mark in true road games. The Sooners come in 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss, 12-2-2 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Baylor and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. the Big 12. Oklahoma has been a good offensive team this year, ranking 590th in scoring (73.3 ppg), 132nd in shooting (44.3%), 177th in 3 point shooting (35.6%) and 36th in FT shooting (73.0%). Defensively the Sooners have been solid, ranking 93rd in points allowed (62.6 ppg), 15th in defensive FG% (37.5%) and 31st in 3 point defense (29.7%).
Baylor comes in having gone just 3-3 in their last 6 games, but still overall they have gone 14-4, including 10-1 at home, while also going just 2-3 with in the Big 12. The Bears have gone 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, but just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. the Big 12. Baylor has been an average offensive team this year, ranking 140th in scoring (69.3 ppg), 244th in shooting (42.2%), 103rd in 3 point shooting (36.0%) and 271st in FT shooting (66.0%). Defensively the Bears have been very good, ranking 19th in points allowed (57.8 ppg), 43rd in defensive FG% (39.0%) and 32nd in 3 point defense (29.8%).
Pick: Lets go with the Under here. Both of these teams play excellent defense and Baylor has not run with anyone this year. They just won't as they like to play the low scoring grinding game. In the first meeting between these teams the Bears allowed 73 points to Oklahoma, but that was on the road and at home they have allowed just 45.8 ppg. They do not give up allot at home. The Sooners have not allowed much all year as they have given up just 62.6 ppg on 37.5 % shooting so far. That earlier game at Oklahoma saw 136 points scored, but Baylor home games have averaged 126.4 ppg and I see this one coming in right about at that number.
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