Saturday college football and we will see the Vanderbilt Commodores take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, Mississippi. The game has a start time of 7:30 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN or the SEC Network. Current Vegas odds have Mississippi State listed as 30.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 53.5.
Analysis: The Vanderbilt Commodores have had a rough season so far as they are 3-7 on the year, which includes an 0-6 mark in conference play and an 0-3 mark on the road. The Commodores are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games in November and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games, but are also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings. This is a putrid offensive team that ranks 123rd in total yards, 107th in passing, 114th in rushing and 119th in scoring (18.9 ppg).The defense has been bad as well, ranking 74th in total yards allowed, 72nd vs the pass, 82nd vs the run and 102nd in points allowed (32.4 ppg).
The Mississippi State bulldogs may come into this game in a foul mood after a 25-20 loss at Alabama knocked them from the top spot in the polls. Overall this year the Bulldogs are 9-1, which includes a 6-0 mark at home and a 5-1 mark in the SEC. The Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss, but just 6-15 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Miss State has been a very good offensive team, ranking 9th in total yards, 36th in rushing, 20th in passing and 15th in scoring (37.8 ppg). The defense has been solid as well, ranking 81st in yards allowed, 122nd vs the pass, 21st vs the run and 17th in points allowed (20.2 ppg).
Pick: Vanderbilt has not had a good, but they also haven’t lost a game by more than 27 points since week 2 vs Ole Miss. The Bulldogs come in off that crushing loss to Alabama and they have a date with Ole Miss on deck, so they may not be fully focused here. Yes I know they have to win big, but I just feel it will be hard for them to do that here, especially knowing that they just have to win out to be in the playoffs and that really makes next weeks game vs Ole miss that much more important. Miss State could win by just 21 here and will still be in the top 4. That makes this a flat spot for them and Vandy will find a way to cover this one.
Get Goodfella's ONE & ONLY CFB GAME OF THE YEAR!!! For Free- No Obligation - No Credit Card Required - Becoming a member is Fast and Free!
Stay on top of the latest odds and line moves for Football Season with our real-time odds from Las Vegas and offshore!
College Football Free Picks: Louisville vs Notre Dame Betting
What college football bettors need to know about betting Louisville Cardinals vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Saturday (11/22/14) - a free pick from Pregame.com's Dave Cokin with added insight from Ken Thomson.