Game 6 of the NBA Finals between the San Antonio Spurs & the Miami Heat takes place tonight in South Beach. The game is scheduled for a 9:00 PM (Eastern) start time and will be televised on ABC. Currently the Odds for the game have Miami favored by 7 points while the total sits at 191.
Analysis: The San Antonio Spurs are one win away from their fifth NBA title. San Antonio took a 3-2 lead with a 114-104 victory Sunday behind a season-best game from Manu Ginobili and another superb performance from 3-point shooter Danny Green. San Antonio shot a blistering 60% from the floor and 41% from three-point range (9-of-22), with SG Danny Green knocking down six threes, giving him an NBA Finals record 25 made three-pointers in the series. The Heat actually shot better from behind the arc (48%, 11-of-23) than they did on their two-point shots (41%, 26-for-63) during Game 5. Green is the clear-cut Finals MVP if San Antonio closes out the series in Game 6. Superb ball movement by San Antonio has presented Green with numerous unguarded looks and he has answered by making 65.8 percent of his 3-point attempts. “My teammates have done a great job of finding me and getting me open,” Green said. “Luckily, it seems everything is going right for me.” Parker scored a game-high 26 points in Game 5 despite playing through a hamstring injury while power forward Tim Duncan had 17 points and 12 rebounds for his third double-double of the series.
Miami is 14-7 SU and 11-10 ATS (52%) this postseason, and the offense is finally starting to gel. After failing to reach 100 points in five straight games, the Heat have surpassed the century mark in three of the past four contests, averaging 98.3 PPG on 47% FG and 46% threes during these four games. They continue to protect the basketball with great care, piling up 22.2 APG and just 11.0 TOPG (2.02 Ast/TO ratio) in the NBA Finals. After getting lit up for 114 points in Game 5, Miami has now allowed 99.2 PPG on 47% FG (44% threes) to San Antonio this series. That's a big drop-off from the first three playoff series when Heat opponents scored just 87.6 PPG on 43% FG (33% threes). Forward LeBron James is aware he will receive a lot of criticism if Miami falls short, but he isn’t running from it on the eve of Game 6. James is averaging 21.6 points and 10.8 rebounds and has reached 20 points just twice in the series. “I have to come up big for sure in Game 6,” James said. “But I believe we all have to play at a high level in order to keep the series going. So me being one of the leaders of this team, I do put a lot of pressure on myself to force a Game 7 and I look forward to the challenge.” Guard Dwyane Wade has put together back-to-back stellar games of 32 and 25 points and veteran guard Ray Allen had his best game of the series with 21 points on 7-of-10 shooting in Game 5.
Pick: I like the Under in his one. The Heat's offense is looking better of late, but they really need to slow the pace if they are gonna force a game 7. Both teams do play excellent defense and i don't expect the Spurs to be able to connect on a ton of 3's in South Beach, like they were able to at home. This one should be played in the lower 180's
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