The Western Conference Finals continue tonight and we will see the Memphis Grizzlies take on the San Antonio Spurs at the AT&T Center in San Antonio. The game is scheduled for an 9:05 PM (Eastern) start time and will be televised on ESPN. Currently the Odds for the game have San Antonio favored by 5.5 points while the total sits at 182.5.

Analysis: Memphis snapped win streaks of four SU and 10 ATS when it was clobbered in Game 1 by a 105-83 score. Memphis is now 0-3 SU in Game 1's this postseason, but is 8-1 SU (9-0 ATS) in all other contests. The Grizzlies have been outstanding with just one day of rest this season, going 35-16-2 ATS (69%) for the season and a perfect 9-0 ATS in the past nine such scenarios. The Grizzlies have won four of five, but their offense has struggled over this stretch, scoring just 92.0 PPG on 40.6% FG. But more troubling was Memphis' poor defense on Sunday that allowed San Antonio to get wide-open looks all afternoon. This came after holding Oklahoma City's potent offense to mere 89.6 PPG on 39.9% FG in the five-game series win in the West semifinals. The one big consistency for this team has been ball-handling, as it averages 19.5 APG and 10.5 TOPG for the entire postseason. Grizzlies star Zach Randolph was a nonfactor with two points and he apologized to his teammates. He was 1-of-8 shooting with his lone basket coming on a putback with 9:26 left in the game. “I have to come out and give them something,” Randolph told reporters on Monday. “I’ve been hard on myself. I couldn’t sleep (Sunday) night.” San Antonio placed a heavy emphasis on stopping Randolph and routinely collapsed multiple defenders on him and also fronted him so he couldn’t receive the ball in areas in which he could operate. Randolph had four double-doubles in the five games against Oklahoma City, and Memphis has no shot at beating the Spurs if the two-time All-Star can’t get his game going.

The Spurs have now won three straight contests (SU and ATS) by double-digits, prevailing by 18, 12 and 22 points. They have also beaten the Grizzlies seven straight times at home, and are 18-2 SU (but 9-10-1 ATS) in the past 20 meetings at AT&T Center. The Spurs had a 2-0 lead in the West finals a year ago before Oklahoma City won the next four games. That bad taste still resonates with the San Antonio veterans. “I can promise you this: Nobody’s happy in our locker room because we were up 2-0 last year and we lost,” Spurs point guard Tony Parker said. “It’s just one game. It means nothing. We still have a long way to go. A huge factor in the Game 1 win was the outstanding long-range shooting. The Spurs were 14-for-29 from 3-point range, with forwards Matt Bonner and Kawhi Leonard making four apiece and Danny Green hitting three. “It’s highly improbable we’re going to shoot at the clip we did last game,” Bonner told reporters on Monday. “They’ve got the best defense in the league. They’re going to come out and make adjustments and play better on defense for sure.” Point guard Tony Parker had 20 points and nine assists in the opener and has eight 20-point outings this postseason. San Antonio has held opponents under 90 points in five of its 11 postseason games.

Pick: Just like in game 1, I like the Over. This is still too low a an OU line for a Spurs home game. Through the course of the year, Spurs home games have averaged 199.3 ppg and each of their last 5 playoff home games have put up at least 188 points. Memphis road games have put up 185.6 ppg and 6 of their 7 road playoff games put up at least 184 points. I expect the Spurs to get out an run in their own building, which will also have Memphis looking to run as well. Both teams should score in the 90's getting us a game that should put up at least 190 points. 

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