Free NFL Premium Pick
2 Units (Regular-sized bet)
JACKSONVILLE +7.5
Yes, I know. It's the Jaguars. But Miami doesn't belong laying more than a TD against any NFL team. They're 0-3 ATS as a favorite this season and the last time they were chalk by a TD or so, they were spanked by the Titans, 37-3. Losing left tackle Jake Long to a triceps injury two weeks ago certainly hurts the Miami offense.
The Jags actually play much better on the road (5-1 ATS this season) and they have a travel edge here despite the visiting team. While the Jags only traveled about 500 miles from Jacksonville to Miami, the Dolphins had to travel across three time zones (about 4,200 miles) to come home after playing in San Francisco last Sunday. I'm sure Jags QB Chad Henne will be plenty focused and motivated to beat his former team. I'm grabbing the points with JACKSONVILLE, as I'm expecting a close game.
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