Attached are my updated power ratings on every team, showing their rating to start the year, along with their rating last week, and their current rating. Additionally, I show each team's Home Field Advantage (a blank HFA indicates an average HFA). To calculate a spread, take the difference between the teams, and adjust for HFA. Note, if your calculated point spread is above 7, it typically requires a small adjustment downward, to reflect the 4th quarter of most of these games being more of a pk'm type situation.
Note, most handicappers use 3 for an average HFA. Recent data (the last 3 years) suggests 2.5 MAY be a more accurate number.
|
6-Sep |
28-Dec |
4-Jan |
HFA |
|
|
|
|
|
Arizona |
5 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
3.5 |
Atlanta |
-1.5 |
5.5 |
6 |
|
Baltimore |
1 |
1.5 |
1 |
|
Buffalo |
0 |
-3 |
-3.5 |
|
Carolina |
6 |
-2 |
-2 |
|
Chicago |
-2.5 |
-5 |
-6 |
2 |
Cincy |
3.5 |
-1 |
-0.5 |
|
Cleveland |
-7.5 |
-11 |
-11 |
|
Dallas |
-1.5 |
6 |
6 |
2 |
Denver |
0.5 |
-1 |
0 |
|
Detroit |
-2 |
-0.5 |
-1.5 |
|
Green Bay |
5.5 |
3.5 |
3 |
4 |
Houston |
1 |
-1.5 |
-2 |
|
Indy |
-0.5 |
-1 |
-1.5 |
|
Jax |
-2 |
-4.5 |
-4 |
1.5 |
KC |
3 |
3 |
3.5 |
|
LA |
-2.5 |
-7 |
-8.5 |
|
Mia |
-1.5 |
1.5 |
0 |
1.5 |
Minny |
0 |
-2 |
-1 |
4 |
NEW Eng |
1.5 |
9 |
11 |
4 |
New Orl |
-3 |
1 |
1 |
|
NYG |
-1 |
1.5 |
2 |
2 |
NYJ |
0 |
-8 |
-7 |
1.5 |
Oakland |
0.5 |
-3 |
-3.5 |
|
Philly |
-5 |
-2 |
-1.5 |
|
Pit |
5 |
5 |
5.5 |
2 |
SD |
-1.5 |
-2.5 |
-3.5 |
1.5 |
SF |
-7 |
-9.5 |
-9 |
2 |
Sea |
5.5 |
4 |
3.5 |
4 |
Tampa |
0 |
1 |
0.5 |
2 |
Ten |
-3 |
-3 |
-2 |
|
Wash |
-0.5 |
1.5 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Buffalo |
Manuel |
Ten |
Cassel |
|
Jets |
Fitz |
|
Oak |
Cook |
|
Mia |
Moore |
|
Houston |
Osweiller |
On the handicapping front, I expect to have an NFL release likely on Thursday. I AM in action with a huge 3* CFB play on Clemson/ALA. 8-2 in the Bowls, we look to finish strong!
http://bit.ly/1dO56ZY