No excuses for a wrong side loser.
There was one Thursday game. If I had posted this prior to kickoff, it would have been obvious to all what my GOY was.
I am 30-15 lifetime on 3* best bets at Pregame. I am +120 units YTD. I went over Az's recent results very closesly. Their D is banged up, and this team has fraud written all over it. I had the Rams rated 1.5 points better, short week, recent blowout revenge in a 'phony' loss @Az. Az's win last week vs. KC (where I had Az for a 3*, was a very fortunate result)
As far as "why not sell it -6 if it is a GOY -3.5?". Likely best to think of the equivalent MLs, betting Rams -3.5-110 is about the same as -180. Betting them -6 is similar to -230.
If I had a Bases GOY at -180, should i keep it up -230? Of course not. YES, it's unlikely that it land 4-5-6, however there is still more than a 5% chance it does. So even if Rams -3.5 was a solid 60% play, Rams -6.5 would likely not even be profitable.
Losing a GOY sucks. Working hard on the Weekend card.....