Was killing the books at +17 units entering Sunday.. But the day was devastatingly bad. Gotta bounce back.. Not a totals person at all, this may very well my only total of the NFL season, but I liked this total to much to pass up on..
4* Minnesota Vikings +6 *WINNER*
I can't believe that Minnesota is a 6 point dog in this spot. First of all, Kyle Orton with less then a month of playing time with his new team is not gonna lnow teams out. If Buffalo wins, I believe it will be with defense. The Vikings defense has surprisingly played pretty decent this season, a credit to mike Zimmer. The Vikings DLine put a lot of pressure on stafford last week and I can see Orton having a tough time against it. I think this line drops back to around 4.5 so if you like it, I think you should get it now.. Bills are laying too many points here..
3* New York Giants +7 (-120) *LOSER*
2* Indianapolis colts -3 (-120) *WINNER*
2* Jets/Patriots UNDER 45 *LOSER*
This total stuck out to me and even though I don't play totals, never have, and don't plan on continuing to.. I liked this play to much to not play it. Look, Rex Ryan is a great defensive min and loves to play with exotic blitz schemes and single high safety. He has had to play significantly more two deep safety with the lack of competent corner play, but the pats are one team that does not threaten those corners over the top on a play to play basis. The patriots interior OLine is a wreck, and Brady struggles the most with interior pressure. The Jets should be able to control the line of scrimmage and force Brady into third and longs, which is when rex can send his exotic pressures into the face of tom Brady. The Jets on offense have been pathetic this year, but especially when Eric decker has not been productive due to injuries. Decker should be taken out of this game by revis, and geno does not have the other weapons to move the ball consistently. I see this game playing out similar to the Thursday night game they played last year which was extremely low scoring.. final score prediction patriots 20 Jets 13
2* Denver Broncos -6.5 *WINNER*
1* New York Jets +10 (-120) *WINNER*
Like the jets defense in this matchup, should dominate the LOS. In a game I expect to be low scoring, I'll take the 10 points
1* Kansas City Chiefs +4 *WINNER*