Gonna wait it out on a few plays To get the best line.. Here's a 2* TNF Game tonight
5*
4*
Cincinnati Bengals -5.5 *WINNER*
This will be the top play of week 2. The Bengals last year were an OUTSTANDING 8-0 ATS in the regular season last year. Atlanta is improved from the 4-12 team they were last season, and the Julio Jones injury was huge last year, but the biggest reason for the struggles was the weakness in the trenches they displayed. The Falcons will be starting colossal bust Gabe Carimi at left tackle Sunday for injured Jake Matthews, and this loss is huge for a immobile quarterback dependent on his offensive line. As if it wasn't hard enough to deal with Geno Atkins in the middle, Carlos Dunlap and the rest of the Cincy DLine will be pinning there ears back at home against this depleted offensive line. The falcons have to score because of how weak there defense is, and the pressure package the Bengals bring will create a lot of 1 on 1's in the trenches, which I don't see matt Ryan being able to overcome
3*
Buffalo Bills -1*WINNER*
Expect an emotional atmosphere in Buffalo, with the team recently being purchased to stay in Buffalo, the first home game without Ralph Wilson, and Jim Kelly being honored as well. That's just a small factor though, the big factor is how well I think Buffalo'a running game will match up against a depleted linebacking corp. Not only is the line backing injuries a concern for Miami, but the one big knock on EJ Manuel is that he does not go through his progressions and can get baited into interceptions by playmaking safety's. This is where the suspension of safety Rashad Jones will have an impact against Miami. The hype is about Miami's pass rush and what they did to Brady, but the bills have a stacked defensive line going up against a weak offensive line in Miami playing there first road game of the season. Also, Buffalo last season was a tough scrappy team at home, and when they are only giving a point against a team I have barely ranked over them in power rankings, I see value on this line.
2*
Baltimore Ravens -2.5 *WINNER*
There is no must win games in week 2, but you gotta think the Ravens will be desperate for a win tonight, as they can't go 0-2 in the division at home to start the season. This alone isn't a reason to pick Baltimore though. If there's one thing Joe Flacco excels at, it's the deep ball, and he has the weapons to go deep in this matchup, especially when targeting Torrey Smith matched up against Ike Taylor. Flacco, like most qbs, loses effectiveness when his team can't run the ball. Baltimore doesn't have the best running game by any stretch of the imagination, but pittsburghs run defense is bad enough to give Baltimore enough through the ground to keep the defense honest, and let flacco excel off of play action. One other small factor is that older teams have a little bit more trouble recovering on short rest, and once again Pittsburgh is one of the leagues oldest teams. Antonio Brown should have a big game, but I look for the Baltimore front 7 to win the battle in the trenches and limit big ben to an average or so game.
Green Bay Packers -7 (-115) *PUSH*
I won't lie.. As a Vikings fan, I do not like the Green Bay packers. But overcoming my dislike for Green Bay is money, and this play was to good for me to pass up on. My personal power rankings have power ranked this game at GreenBay -11, so I feel we are getting tremendous value with this line. With green bays homefield advantage being worth 4 points, this line is suggesting green bay is only 3 points better on a neutral field? Give me a break.. The Jets have a dominant interior defensive line, but unlike immobile quarterbacks like Brees and Brady who they limited, aaron Rodgers can escape the pocket to where the Jets do not have elite outside pass rushers. If aaron Rodgers has any time to throw, I'm expecting him to pick apart one arguably the worst group of corners in the league. The jets can run the ball, the packers weakness, but if there forced to play catch up and score points, thats when Geno Smith could begin to force things and we all know he is turnover prone. The packers defense gives up yards, but there corners Tramon Williams and Sam Shields are known risk takers and I think we see them being awfully agressive against the young quarterback. I don't like taking more then TD favorites, but this play jumped out at me.
1*
San Diego Chargers +4.5 *WINNER*
Power ranked this at Seattle -3.5.. Woulda been a bigger play but screwed up not getting the +5.5 earlier in the week. Public loves Seattle but different team on the road..Seattle maybe in look ahead spot playing Denver next week?
St. Louis Rams +4.5 *WINNER*
All the focus on the back up QB Austin Davis for the rams.. But josh mCCown needs protection to be effective, and Rams front 4 should blow up Bucs OLine. Look at what mCCown did last week with subpar protection vs Carolina.
Indianapolis Colts -2.5 (-120) *LOSER*
Big Key in this matchup for me is the once dominate eagles offensive line taking a big step back minus Evan Mathis and Lane Johnson tonight. Both teams are absent a good defense but think Foles is the worse QB more dependent on his OLine. Luck shouldn't face much pressure from a subpar Eagles defense and look for him to roast a suspect philly secondary. We all know Luck is 13-0 SU after a loss but like the matchup for the stud QB and think he will out duel foles.. Getting the 2.5 number was key.