Manic Monday as we update Power Ratings and Discuss all aspects of Sports Betting! I will be on the 1st Preview Show, 1100 AM, at 10 PST this morning!
CBB Observations:
The public has started betting CBB much more heavily. This is evidenced by the fact that Rogue numbers are now popping up on Underdogs on pretty much all the big games. If you like an Underdog in a game like Byu/GONZ or even Usc/ASU, figure that if you wait til post approaches you are very likely to get a 'free' 1/2 point and grab +5 on a game lined at +4.5 somewhere at post.........Since 1/2 a point is worth about 8-9 cents this time of year (it is worth more late in the year), you are essentially betting at -101 vig when you get an extra 1/2 point........
CBB Endgames:
I could literally write a book about this, but if there is ONE strategy that derails teams that are ahead late in the game, it HAS to be the "run clock" idea. How many times do you see a team up 8-10 take the air out of the ball late in the game, and they just cannot score? It gets even worse in the final 90 seconds. The final minute is the worst, when a team is up by 1-2, with 40-45 seconds or so left. Yes, it is nice to get the clock down to 15 seconds, but YOU NEED TO SCORE. How often do you see it, a team gets hit with a shot clock violation or literally gets off a 20% shot only, they are SO intent on running the clock. My NWU Wildcats milked clock up 2 with 40 seconds Sunday........got nothing.......and lost in regulation........one of many, many teams that use this horrible strategy. You outplayed the other team the entire game.....just keep doing what you were doing......and only take the air out of the clock when your opponent is forced to foul.
CBB Free Play: Later Today.
NBA: Updated Power Ratings!
|
20-Feb |
27-Feb |
Dallas |
-1 |
-1 |
Denver |
-1 |
-2 |
G state |
13 |
13 |
Hou |
6 |
6 |
LA CLIPS |
-0.5 |
4.5 |
LAL |
-6 |
-7 |
Mem |
2.5 |
2.5 |
MIN |
-1 |
-1 |
NEW ORL |
-3.5 |
-3.5 |
OKC |
1 |
1 |
PHX |
-6.5 |
-6.5 |
POR |
-2 |
-2 |
SAC |
-7 |
-7 |
SA |
7.5 |
8 |
UT |
4.5 |
5 |
|
|
|
ATL |
2 |
1 |
BOST |
4.5 |
4.5 |
Brook |
-9 |
-9 |
CHRL |
-0.5 |
-0.5 |
CHIC |
-0.5 |
0 |
CLEV |
5 |
5 |
DET |
-0.5 |
-0.5 |
IND |
-1 |
-1 |
MIA |
-1 |
0 |
MIL |
-1.5 |
-2 |
NY |
-4.5 |
-5 |
ORL |
-6 |
-6 |
PHIL- |
-4.5 |
-4 |
TOR |
5.5 |
5.5 |
WASH |
2.5 |
2.5 |
NFL: Here are my initial sendouts:
NE |
11.5 |
|
Dal |
10 |
|
MIA |
8.5 |
|
Wash |
8.5 |
|
BUF |
7 |
|
NYG |
8 |
|
NYJ |
6 |
|
Phi |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pit |
10 |
|
GB |
10.5 |
|
Balt |
9 |
|
Det |
8 |
|
Cin |
8 |
|
Min |
8 |
|
Clev |
4.5 |
|
CHIC |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ten |
8.5 |
|
Atl |
9 |
|
Hou |
8.5 |
|
Car |
8.5 |
|
Indy |
8.5 |
|
Tb |
8 |
|
Jax |
6 |
|
NO |
7.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Oak |
9.5 |
|
Sea |
10 |
|
KC |
9 |
|
Az |
8.5 |
|
Den |
9 |
|
LA |
5.5 |
|
LA Chrgrs |
6.5 |
|
SF |
4.5 |
|
On the capping front, I have FIRED on my CBB TOTAL OF THE MONTH! I had this one circled for some time, and we FIRE with confidence on this one! Check it out!
http://bit.ly/1dO56ZY