Sunday, June 19th
NBA Finals - Game 7
Cavaliers at Warriors - 8 pm ET (ABC)
Cleveland’s offense had been pathetic in the NBA Finals prior to Games 5 and 6, but the Cavaliers suddenly scored 227 total points in the past two games. And off those above-average performances, there is a good chance the Cavaliers’ offense will regress in Game 7 on the road tonight. The Warriors’ offense was awful in Games 5 and 6, so the performance patterns certainly indicate that Golden State will come with a terrific offensive output on their strong home court in Game 7 this evening.
In Game 1, the teams combined to score 193 points, but my mathematical re-scoring model showed 200.5 points should have been scored based on the pace of play. In Game 2, the teams combined to score just 187 points, but my mathematical re-scoring model showed 208 points should have been scored. In Game 3, the teams combined to score 210 points with my re-scoring model showing 209 points. In Game 4, the teams combined to score 205 points, but my mathematical re-scoring model showed just 191.5 points. In Game 5, the teams combined to score 209 points with my re-scoring model showing 222.5 points. In Game 6, the teams combined to score 216 points and my mathematical re-scoring model showed 210 points should have been scored.
Overall, the eight head-to-head meetings between Cleveland and Golden State this season have averaged 202.8 points per game with median scores of 205/209. My mathematical re-scoring model has averaged 208.5 points in those eight games with median re-scores of 209/210. Tonight's posted total is in line with those numbers, but Game 7's do normally have a bit more defensive intensity.
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Strong Best Bet for the Side in Game 7 tonight: /pregamepros/pro-bettor/bettor.aspx?id=223439#capper