Made it to the promise land...the plus side. Now I need to stay there......Very tough schedule tonight ..I am usually very strong on trends however I find myself going against a couple of very one sided trends tonight...with that being said, HERE WE GO !!!
SIDES
3* Boston -1/2 goal regulation -125 ...Boston 5-1 in the L6 meetings...the lone loss coming 2/16 in Calgary a game that Boston led 3-0 at one point and ended up losing 4-3 with 2 seconds left in OT...Bruins only 11-11 in revenge mode this season , however 38-28 the L66 under same conditions....Bruins an amazing 15-2 in the month of March over the L3 years....Boston has been off since 2/28 well rested while Calgary is in the midst of a 7 game road trip with tonight being the first of B2B's with tomorrow at Detroit and another game in Ottawa in 3 days...Flames have played well enough defensively to keep this one close however I think the Bruins chasing the playoff spot get the job done. LOSER
2* Washington -135...This one game I'll back some heavy trends as we find the home team 13-1 in the L14 games....Minnesota is 0-4 in the L4 trips to the Capital....Caps have surrendered only 17 goals over the L8 games with 4 of those being to the Penguins.....Wild have played great on the road as of late winning 4 straight and 6 of 7 overall...they also like Calgary find themselves on the front end of a B2B, 3 in 4 and 4 in 6 situations....another low scoring affair that goes to the wire. LOSER
1* St.Louis -115...Public has pounded this number down from the opener of -135....Both teams have had their ups and downs as of late however I still believe the Blues have a big chance to represent the West in the Cup...Their 3 goal come back to force OT in Vancouver the other night shows they are not willing to give up and quit...This is a game where I am bucking a trend as we find the Home team 6-1 in the L7 match ups, however the Blues have only been in Philadelphia once in the L3 years...Blues are 9-2 in the L11 road games ...that's the trend I think continues tonight. LOSER
4* Tampa Bay -1/2 goal regulation -165 ....real close to being a 5* GOY on this one...Leafs 0-9 in the 2nd half of the season playing teams with winning records...5-21 overall in the 2nd half of this year....Tampa is 4-1 the L5 vs. Toronto at home....However for me the biggest difference between these two squads besides Tampa is real good and Toronto is ....oh well Toronto...is the fact of current play , over the L5 games Toronto is allowing 36 shots per game..while the Lightning are playing lock down D allowing only 24.8 shots PG...Toronto allows 30.6 SPG vs. the division while Tampa once again is on lockdown allowing only 22.9 SPG vs. the division...Two teams going in completely opposite directions...P.S. does anyone remember that Tampa was -600 the other night vs. Buffalo.....tonight only -250 against Toronto...are the Leafs really that much better than Buffalo ? I think NOT !!! WINNER
2* Florida -115....Once again the Public has pounded this line down from -140...I think this has a lot to do with the after effects of the Panthers game the other night with the Leafs....With the goalie problems the Panthers have run into the Public feels that Dallas is the right side....Dallas is 1-6 in the L7...Stars are also 2-5 the L7 vs. the Panthers...though Florida is 4-5 in the L9 they still have an outside shot at the Playoffs and this game is pretty much the start of the push or the end of the road.LOSER
1* NY Islanders +125....This is a game that I go against a huge trend as the Islanders are 0-6 on the L6 trips to the Music City...home team is 6-1 in the L7 and Nashville is 8-3 in the L11...However I can't back a team that has lost 4 straight and 6 of the L8...I think the Public will be all over the Predators tonight but I don't think you will see much line movement as I expect a low scoring play off atmosphere in this one tonight...Islanders had their way with Nashville 2/19 and i think they catch them at the right time again in this one. WINNER
1* Montreal +130....Winger here as the Canadiens have lost 2 straight on this west coast swing...Montreal still a respectable 19-12 on the road this year...they are 4-1 on their L5 trips to LA LA Land and 8-2 the L10 overall between the two teams.
TOTALS
2* CLG/BST under 5 -110 LOSER
3* MIN/WSH under 5 +105 WINNER
1* STL/PHI over 5.5 +120 LOSER
1* TOR/TB under 5.5 -110 LOSER
1* DAL/FLA under 5.5 -105 LOSER
1* NYI/NSH under 5.5 -115 LOSER
3* VAN/ARZ over 5.5 +110...Going against huge trends here as Under is 6-0 the L6 meetings in the desert....while under is 7-2 the L9 overall...however Canucks are 11-2-4 to the over the L17...while Arizona is Over 6-2-1 the L9 overall...I'll go with current form over past performances LOSER
AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK !!!!!