Andy Fezzik said:
The Game - for Fezzik's ROI I would recommend you use the data Jeff Scott has compiled in the "Bet Like a Pro" thread. Jeff provides the number of units won or lost since Steve started at Pregame.
If I can’t verify the cleanliness of a data set then I can’t use it.
Andy Fezzik said:
For an ROI computation, you can divide units won by units risked. So, notionally, 100 units won on 1000 units risked would be an ROI of 10%.
Thank you and I am conversant with how to calculate ROI but I don’t use “units” as the numerator, I use the PnL dollar figure; just how I do it.
Andy Fezzik said:
Some critics suggest using data from other "free" message boards where Fezzik posted in the past but, unfortunately, those results tend to have been "cherry picked" by critics to highlight bad streaks and the free text format of message boards doesn't really lend itself well to formal grading; always a risk that posts will have been deleted or edited. In the case of Pregame, we have a complete record spanning back more than 2 year with a large number of data points. It is a solid sample.
I am not interested in “cherry-picked” results that either favor or disfavor Fezz. I am interested in a handicappers career ROI. That is the one figure that we can base our expectations around and yet not one handicapper shares this information in their signature. How about a screenshot of their career equity curve in the signature?
If I was a career verified winner who also sold picks, I would be shouting it from the rooftops. My ROI would not only be in my signature, it would be tattooed on my wife’s ass, etc… You get my point.
The absence of these things is what I question.