Hi Pablor. If you want to judge my abilities on a sample size of one, that is your right. The bigger issue is, as I see it, that I gather you are an experienced handicapper/bettor (that's the impression I get from your post in which you do use the word 'experience'). As such you likely had many valid reasons for playing Wyoming. When I do my handicapping/analysis I always come up with reasons why each side 'should be' the right side and then make a conclusion based on my overall analysis and my own years of experience. If you had many valid reasons for playing Wyoming and then read my analysis on why I felt UNLV is the right side the proper action on your part normally would be NOT to make a play on UNLV, the side yoiu had already decided to play AGAINST. Rather if you liked my reasoning you probably should have PASSED the game. I did play UNLV on Saturday. These writeups -- free plays or otherwise -- set out the handicappers reasoning for favoring a Side or a Total on a game and often they might influence someone who has no strong leaning on that specific game. You are absolutely correct when you end with "Trust Yourself.' If you've been doing this for a while your handicapping is often guided by your subconscious which is really another way of saying your handicapping is guided by the accumulation of your past experiences. Some people refer to this as 'a feel' but it is basically the same thing -- your past experiences create an instinct. Tonight (Sunday) I had a top play on Denver, thinking they would win the game outright. I not only took the plus 3 I played them on the Money Line as well. For anyone who played the other side (New England), there were plenty of valid reasons to play the Patriots. This play worked. The one on UNLV did not. Would I make the UNLV play again? Of course I would (assuming I did not know the outcome in advance). I still feel the factors I used in making that decision were, and remain, valid. I often read other sources for previews and opinions on games that I intend to play (or have already played) because I constantly seek to expand my knowledge base and, although I have been doing this for more than three decades, know that I can always learn and see things from a different perspective. I may not always agree with that other perspective but I can certainly understand from where that perspective comes. We're all in this together and there are many ways to come to the right side in a game -- although the 'right' side is not always the winning side, but the winning side is what gets us pais. I wish you the best, Pablor. Just follow your own advice and do not be talked off of a game on which you have developed a strong opinion on your own.