My initial lean is to Valparaiso but I am concerned that with the game in Green Bay there will be a partisan crowd in support of UWM. Valpo won both regular season meetings by comfortable margins of 13 and 15 points, suggesting some fundamental edges. But Valpo is also 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games (2-3 SU) so I am passing on that game. Number is where I expected it to be.
Belmont defeated Morehead twice in the regular season (by 14 and 3 points) but my models have Belmont favored by 4, 2 1/2 and 2 points. So the numbers point to taking the points with Morehead but Belmont has won 6 straight and 10 of 11 with 6 of those 10 wins by double digits. Tournament is being played in Belmont's home city of Nashville though not on Belmont's home court. So it's a pass for me tonight though I will be looking at backing Belmont if they make the finals if price is reasonable.
And yes, I will have a package up for tonight -- probably around 3 PM Pacific time -- likely to include 2 NBA and 2 college selections.
Best of luck.