sleepyj said:
This is the ninth time in the past nineteen years we are having this discussion. Once the Derby winner was 30-1 and two other times 50-1. Not likely they will comeback and win the Preakness because nobody is scared of a "fluke." There's 12 out of 19 years. Barbaro broke down in the Preakness, there's 13. Animal Kingdom had never raced on dirt prior to his start in the derby, there's 14. Street Sense was beat by, maybe you've heard of him, Curlin the NA all time leading money earner. Materiality fits the Curlin mold of "an unraced 2 yr old hasn't won the derby in 100 plus years." My point, I don't think this is a fluke! The modern era of the horse racing industry as a whole has made it, to this point, an insurmountable task. Horses are now prepared 100% fit leading up their races. AP's pedigree does not suggest his speed, his best asset, to carry far enough. Can you sell me on your yes play? I'm All for hearing opinions!