2-0 31-14, I like Stanford at +10.5. Oregon has won and covered in all but 1 game, but this team has played a very weak schedule. UCLA was only ranked because they blewout and weak Nebraska team, and Oregon struggled first half against them. Oregon has faced a decent UCLA defense and the defense is yet face good offense. Oregon blownout teams faced, but defense given up yards and points early games against Washington State and Colorodo, and defense rarely gets turnovers.
Mariota puts up big numbers against fairly weak PAC-12 defenses, but he struggled against Stanford a last year and is still and UCLA defense until they wore down in the second half, and Mariota struggled pocket passer without running game. Stanford isn't offense used to be and Shaw is very conservative play caller, but Hogan much improved last year and Stanford has better running game and stronger targets on outside. Oregon's run defense secondary struggled and defense beat-up inside, Stanford should be able to run ball and control clock in addition to having size advantages on the outside they should be able to take advantage of Oregon commits stop run. Oregon's special teams are also average and Stanford advantage