Just want to welcome everyone back. Its football season. I hope everyone got off to a good start. You should have as the most heavily bet teams almost all covered. I personally stayed away. Until now that is. First let me state a few things:
A lot was made last year of my basketball thread. I just want to say that I read RJ's article about the difference between scammers, touts, and handicappers. I came to pregame last year after a solid football season using the same system I'm using this year. I was pumped after making a lot of money and wanted a place to document my winnings. I was confident and some took that as me being a tout. I just want to put out there that I just want to show that I'm a solid capper and there's no better feeling then dominating your book. That's what I want to help others do.
My picks are arrived at with a computer program developed with a college friend who is a computer programmer with Qualcomm. It does not involve statistics, it calculates the teams that will cost Vegas the most money if they cover. And we bet against them (betting the side of Vegas). Some of the data required to input is obscure and I pay for this information. The numbers are $ wagered including teasers and parlays from 3 sources and % bet (free info) from 4 sources. Forecasted out then Formulated to provide a number value next to the teams inputted on a 1-10 scale. Plays with a 8 or better we play.
Last year most of you jumped on after I hit 69% with over 70+ plays with basketball. This year, get on from the beginning. I used this system through football last season with solid success.
What you can expect: Over the course of football (NFL and NCAAF) I expect to provide 40-55 computer plays= goal 63% winners. I expect to have 6-12 Best Bets =70% winners. I will also provide leans this year, but have no data to provide for those games.
Best Bets 100*: Games where everything lines up exactly and the computer point value for the team is >9.5
Computer Plays 10*: Games that meet the system requirements and point value is _>8
Leans 1*: Games that look like the money is on the dog but not confirmed by my system. In these games we will turn around and bet the favorite bc the computer does not show that Vegas is at high risk... and Vegas cant win every time.
With that said, its a long season and I'm going all in this year. Lets bash the shit outta the books!! Crack em!
10* Computer Play = Pitt +11 (ceasers)
"Winning is habit. Unfortunately, so is losing" - Vince Lombardi