this saturday kelso is advertising a 200 unit game.
when writing himself up he says his 50 unit games have a 90% chance to cover the spread
ok i think he has claimed that he has given out 2 100 unit games and they both won and of coarse has given out several 50 unit winners and all being winners
now if a 50 unit game has a 90% chance to cover then in order to give a game a 100 unit rating it would have to have a180% chance to cover the spread and in order to put out a 200 unit game then that would have to have a mere 360% chance to cover the spread.
now when you get to those kind of numbers you give me a call and i dont care who it is, if there is anybody you want to put a contract out on, your cheating wife, cheating girlfriend, lying cop, senator or priest i will push them off a cliff with a cam recorder glued to the top of my head and i will do this at no cost to you. all u have to do is just email me your picks.
it may very well be that sturgeon has started the season off 10-0-1 and what he has probably done is double the hype in order to take maximum selling advantage of this present run. oh iam sure he knows how to read a racing form but this guys a salesman and hes been in bed with a lot of handiscammers and he knows every trick, hype and scam out there and how to squeeze a good run for every dollar he can get out of it. thats one of the reasons why he has 3 or 4 different levels of service so if one does bad he can hype the one that does good.
heres what it probably is.
he aint got no 200 unit game, thats impossible. hes taking his best pick on the board which is probably no more then his 50 unit rated games, but now that he has a 10-0-1 starting record to reinforce his prowess as a handicapping genius he can use that springboard to maximize hype and advertisement.
he can say "oh my god i couldnt believe what i saw after i handicapped this game. the numbers came up so strong that the only rating i could give it was a ratng of 200 units' or "i couldnt possibly give this game less then a 200 unit rating. my 10-0-1 record proves that iam this good and that iam teling you the absolute truth when i say i have a 200 unit game"
its a sellers market and kelso certainly and most definantly knows how to play all the angles. he might be giving out a game thats his best bet of the day but it aint no 200
call his office and ask somebody how the hell they gets a 50 unit game with a 90% chance to cover and then comes out with a 200 unit game that theoretically has a 360% chance to cover. ask what the prcentages and probabilities on this 200 unit game to cover are. if they say 96 or 97 or 98% then u ask "if a 50 unit game has a 90% chance to cover then the percentages that a 200 unit game to cover, thats 4 times the strength only moves up 6,7,8 percentage points?" u probably wont get an answer you'll probably get something like "u want the game or not" or more to the point you'l probably get a "click"