Here are my "better late than never" CFB takes - and a free play.
164 Iowa St.6.0 (-120) Pinnacle vs 163 Texas
South Florida-Navy: Bettors like South Florida here - but it hasn't (yet) gone below -7. Perhaps the thinking is that Navy is at Memphis next week or maybe they're looking at what USF did defensively against SMU. However, the games' USF has come up big in (defensively) were, none, really. The let UConn score 20 and Syracuse 24. So, I can't take the points here and like the over.
UMass-Ball State: Total disrespect for Ball Start so far in the lines' shelf life, especially after they played a good Central Michigan team very well - and they've got some measure of revenge for a loss at UMass last season. I can't take a 1-6 team (UMass) on the road, as much as Ball State has fallen short of expectations this season.
Rutgers-Wisconsin: As tough as it's been for Rutgers, it's hard for me to wrap my head around the Badgers laying almost three touchdowns to anyone this season. Their offense just hasn't been there - I do know their only losses were to the Tide and the four point defensive struggle at Iowa - Rutgers just cannot score against above-average defenses, so we like the under here.
Nebraska-Purdue: A lot of Boilermaker love in the last 24 hours, bringing this line from -10.5 or so down to -7.5 almost all in one fell swoop. Obviously that takes some of the value out of the home dog, but they've had to weeks to look at this game, and with the total coming down - perhaps they're still a viable play. My only hesitation is that Nebraska needs two more wins to get to 6 (Bowl Eligible) and in reality this needs to be one of them. Still think Purdue is the better option, Huskers lost to what we now know is a bad Canes team and lost at Illinois. Throw out the Gophers game and the truth is somewhere in the middle. Purdue has the talent to compete - they gave the Spartans a game -
Clemson-NC State: Massively one-sided action on the Tigers here and the line really hasn't move off of -10. Indeed if Clemson is looking at FSU next week at all, the Pack have enough players, but I am really concerned the NC State's schedule has been soft. The best team they've played this season is/was L'ville, now unranked. I do think this one goes over the number.
Ole Miss-Auburn: One has to think the four-overtime loss at Arkansas took a great deal out of Auburn, but I do think we'll see their best effort. They need two more wins for six - and aside from Idaho at home, that may not be easy with Alabama, A & M, and UGA left, albeit two of those at home. What would concern me about Ole Miss is that they only put up 23 against the Aggies, but indeed everyone loves the Rebels here - I do like the under perhaps better than a side.
SDSU-CSU: The Rams might still be under the radar this season. They're a well-coached team - Mike Bobo this season, taking over for McElwain (to Florida) so betting against them at home getting points is probably out of the question. Trying to ascertain whether the Aztecs laying 48 on Utah State was a fluke, for a team that over they years had been known for defense under Long. CSU has given up quite a few points - so the over might be the best play here.
Stanford-Washington State: I missed the boat early not taking WSU at +13 and now need to see if there's still value. I'm not sure I trust their defense after watching them give up 31 to Oregon State. Most of the money here is also on the under - but weather depending, I don't necessarily agree with that.
USC-Cal: Once again Cal is getting perhaps more respect than they deserve, at least at +6 or better, but with games left at Oregon and Stanford, they do really need this one, but again, trusting their defense is an issue for me. SoCal won here two years ago 62-28 - so perhaps that's enough motivation for Cal - this is a game I probably want no part of, and agree with the line that it's going to be a high scoring game - but the way I look at it at 69 you'd need 10 touchdowns scored to LOSE an under bet - so maybe an over reaction. Books set the line at 65, and they had to know there'd be over money coming in no matter what the number.
Notre Dame-Temple: This ones' already been analyzed to death here. I originally liked Temple at +10.5 - but have thought it through and there's perhaps just too much speed and depth on the other side of the ball. This could be a GREAT in-game betting opportunity -
Georgia Tech-UVA: So, now all of a sudden after beating FSU (or FSU beating FSU) the Yellow Jackets are a betting darling and have become "what they were" in a week. I tend to think not, but they are a very desperate team looking to get to six wins. UVA only gave up 26 to UNC on the road last week - so endorsing Tech isn't all that easy here. Tech hammered them last season, and to me this is like the Ravens-Cardinals game - a team with nothing to lose is a dangerous team to play.
Texas-Iowa State: Lots of Cyclone love here - and I can understand why having just played TCU and Baylor. Texas should be easy, one would think, also knowing they've got Oklahoma on the road next week. If only they were that easy, but they (ISU) did hold TCU and Baylor under 50, which isn't something many teams have done. Texas had their "one big game" against Oklahoma - then didn't look great against K-State - and given the recent history of this team, it's ISU or nothing.
Penn State-Illinois: Clearly the bettors like the Illini here, at least at the better numbers that were available. I would have to question how much the Iowa and Badgers' losses takes from this team - because both were close games late and Illinois just made mistakes. Penn State's defense has been very good - and last weeks' game against the Terps wasn't a home game (Baltimore) - part of me thinks at home - with the huge crowd, the Lions win this game.
South Carolina-Texas A & M: I do know how bad the Aggies have been on offense. However, that total going up about 9 points from the Bookmaker opener tells me that it's the Aggies or nothing. Holding Ole Miss to 23 points is a feat, and South Carolina will just struggle on offense. Yes, the 'Cocks have had two weeks off, but if they can let Missouri score 24 points, even a less-than-perfect Aggies offense should get plenty.
Tennessee-Kentucky: I do know how the Vols are finally APPARENTLY starting to play to the preseason expectations. However - laying that many points on the road in Conference play is just tough for me to swallow. Yes, they beat UGA which has always been a good matchup for them, then of course play their ass off at Alabama. UT may well boatrace the Wildcats, but at night - and UK always seems to have that one big game somewhere along the line, I can't do it - and the Vols beat them 50-16 in Knoxville last season - so there's your motivation. Whether "talent" trumps it remains to be seen.
Miami-Duke: The game finally opens at -7 and now sits at -11. I wonder if Golden being gone is a huge positive here, not unlike the NFL team in Miami after Philbin was fired. Let's assume that nothing happened here and base this strictly off of talent. I'd take Miami with double digits more often than not. Let's remember that Duke played a four-overtime game last week and win or no win - it's emotion and tons of extra time they had to play. This could be another one of those "dangerous teams to play" games.